No more heat waves!
Winds return back to Karachi!
Death toll rises to 63 after rain lashes Pakistan!
Rains have been reported from almost all over the country in Pakistan since last week, while rains continue to batter some upper parts of the country. Temperature remained normal in many parts of the country while slightly above in some southern parts of the country. Overall high humidity was observed in the monsoon regions of Pakistan. Whats next?
Temperature – high or low?
Temperatures are likely to remain in comfort zone in almost all parts of Pakistan due to monsoonal winds and moisture incursion prevailing over the region. In Karachi and coastal Sindh, the fast winds will keep the weather pleasant and temperatures are not likely to cross 35°C. In few areas of upper Sindh the temperatures could reach 45°C but overall no major heat wave is expected. In Punjab due to continuous and frequent cool western trough, the temperatures have dropped and they will remain in that place till 3 to 4 days. In Khyber province too, the temperatures are likely to remain in a comfort level. The advance of monsoon has caused temperatures to drop in Sindh and South Punjab. Following is the expected temperature forecast;
- 36 °C to 38 °C in Islamabad.
- 31 °C to 35 °C in Karachi.
- 38 °C to 40 °C in Peshawar.
- 40 °C to 44°C in Multan.
- 40 °C to 44°C in Faisalabad.
- 36 °C to 38 °C in Hyderabad.
- 42 °C to 45 °C in Sukkur.
- 41 °C to 44 °C also in Larkana.
- 39 °C to 43 °C in Nawabshah.
Death toll rises as rain lashes different parts of country
Due to monsoon rainfall, many people have lost their lives. Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) had been observing the deaths in Pakistan that occur every monsoon season, since June 25 till July 27 a total of 61 people have died across the country the deaths have occurred due to heat waves, isolated flash flooding, windstorms and heavy rainfall. On July 28, 2 people have been reported to die in Faisalabad due to the collapse of houses that was caused by a local dust storm, thus the death toll has risen to 63 till July 28.
Monsoon 2011 update
4th spell continues – break – 5th spell starts
2011: Karachi fears 2005 and 2008!
Low forming in Bay?
Bay of Bengal has been more inactive since last year as no strong weather system is seen forming that would strengthen the monsoon. However as of July 28, an upper air cyclonic circulations have formed in the north-western Bay of Bengal that could deepen a bit and intensify into a low pressure area, however its track will be in focus after it transforms into a low pressure.
A tropical storm Nock-ten in the western Pacific ocean could also have an impact on the monsoon season as it continues to move westwards.
All the monsoon regions of Pakistan have now received monsoon showers. Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) had forecasted on July 15 that monsoon arrival is likely in south-eastern and coastal Sindh including Karachi during last week of July and PWP was on the spot!
Monsoon hit south-eastern Sindh including Hyderabad on July 25 while coastal Sindh including Karachi a day later that is July 26.
Fourth monsoon spell in Upper Pakistan continues
The 4th monsoon spell continues to lash different parts of Punjab with rains starting to spread to South Punjab. The fresh western trough has enhanced the monsoon activity in Upper parts of Pakistan while the previous western trough is still present over India’s Kashmir. The Upper air cyclonic circulations have started attracting moisture to itself thus local thunderstorms may develop over South Punjab.
This 4th spell of monsoon will continue till the end of July in Upper Pakistan including Khyber province though its intensity will decrease day be day as western trough moves into India and monsoon moisture decrease. After the 4th spell a break is expected and eventually the 5th monsoon spell may start between the first and second week of August.
Fresh monsoon spell in South Pakistan?
After witnessing the first monsoon spell in coastal and South-eastern Sindh, while third in Upper Sindh, many people living in Sindh especially Karachiites ask,”When will the second spell start?”
The answer is that till August 5, there are no chances of any weather system coming to Sindh beyond that the weather is unclear. As for now the upper air cyclonic circulation has entered the Sindh coast and under the influence of this UAC, light drizzle could occur till July 29. The upper air cyclonic circulations would also strengthen the off shore trough over western coast of India. These circulations would dissipate in next 48 hours but the level of moisture incursion will remain low to moderate for drizzle for next few days in Karachi.
Poll of the week
Last week’s poll showed that 95% percent people wanted rains in Karachi while the remaining did not like rain at all. What will be the situation this time? Vote now so Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) could know your views;