Monsoon Daily Updates – For July 2011

This is actually a part of Monsoon of Pakistan page

July rainfall for major cities

Following are the rainfall recorded from Jule 1 till July 31 in the capital and provincial capital cities of Pakistan;

  • Islamabad got 728 mm rainfall, above than monthly normal.
  • Lahore got 405 mm rainfall, above than monthly normal.
  • Muzaffarabad got 201 mm rainfall, below than monthly normal.
  • Peshawar got 67.2 mm rainfall, above than monthly normal.
  • Karachi got 8.2, below than monthly normal.
  • Quetta got 1 mm, below than monthly normal.

Date of issue – July 31

“4th monsoon spell ends”

“Month ends with above monsoon rainfall in Punjab again”

*Upper air cyclonic circulations persist over north-west Bay of Bengal that could intensify into a low pressure in next few days. There is also another upper air cyclonic circulations over Gujarat.

*The 4th monsoon spell is over in the country as continental air is prevailing over most of the country however few events of showers still likely as western trough is present over Jammu & Kashmir. Light rainfall could also occur in North-eastern Punjab. While light drizzle in Karachi, south-eastern and coastal Sindh. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded today in Pakistan till 11:00 am PST;

  • Punjab
  • Faisalabad got 27 mm.
  • Lahore got 15 mm.
  • Okara got 60.3 mm.
  • Shorkot got 40 mm.
  • Khyber
  • D.G Khan got 12.5 mm.
  • Balochistan
  • Barkhan got 27 mm.

Date of issue – July 30

4th spell coming to an end!

*The Upper air cyclonic circulations persist over South Punjab, while another UAC is over Bay of Bengal, it may intensify into a low pressure in few days.

*Western trough moves into Jammu & Kashmir and adjoining Pakistani areas,under that influence rainfall activity will decrease all over the Upper parts of the country. However due to presence of monsoon moisture, some more showers with isolated moderate falls still likely in North-eastern Punjab, while light showers also expected in South Punjab. While drizzle in coastal Sindh likely too till 36 hours. Weather will remain hot and dry in other parts of the country. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded till 11:00 am PST in some cities of Pakistan;

  • Punjab
  • D.G Khan got 2 mm.
  • Jhelum got 3 mm.
  • Mandi got 5 mm.
  • Mangla got 2 mm.
  • Kashmir 
  • Astore got 5 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Parachinar got 6 mm.
  • Kalam got 7 mm.
  • Sindh
  • Karachi got TR
  • Balochistan remained dry.

Date of issue – July 29

*Upper air cyclonic circulations over coastal Sindh will dissipate in 12 hours, while another UAC is over South Punjab. Another UAC is over west Utter Pradesh. The fourth UAC is over north-west Bay of Bengal that may strengthen into a low pressure in few days.

*Western trough and monsoon moisture continues to interact over upper Pakistan under the influence of this interaction, more fourth monsoon showers at times isolated heavy likely in Islamabad, North Punjab, eastern Khyber and Kashmir. Lahore, Faisalabad and other adjoining cities could also get isolated heavy rainfall in 36 hours and then a decrease is likely but weak form of this spell will continue till end of July. In South Punjab, light to isolated moderate showers with thunder and lightening likely during the same period. In Sindh, south-eastern and coastal parts could get drizzle in next 2 days. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded till 11:00 am PST in some cities of Pakistan;

  • Islamabad got 33 mm.
  • Punjab
  • Lahore got 39 mm.
  • Kamra got 18 mm.
  • Mianwali got 30 mm.
  • Murree got 24 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Malam Jabba got 2 mm.
  • Cherat got 4 mm.
  • Risalaur got 98 mm.
  • Sindh
  • Karachi got 1 mm.
  • Balochistan
  • Sibbi got 28 mm.
  • Barkhan got 17 mm.

Date of issue – July 28

Western and eastern interaction continues

2 people dead in Punjab: PWP Media

*The upper air cyclonic circulations is near Sindh coast and would dissipate in 36 hours, another UAC is over South Punjab. The third UAC has formed over north-west Bay of Bengal that may strengthen into a low pressure in few days.

*Western trough and monsoon moisture continues to interact over upper Pakistan under the influence of this interaction a thunderstorm has formed that PWP reported yesterday. More fourth monsoon showers at times isolated heavy likely in Islamabad, North Punjab, eastern Khyber and Kashmir. Lahore, Faisalabad and other adjoining cities could also get isolated heavy rainfall in 36 hours and then a decrease is likely but weak form of this spell will continue. In South Punjab, light to isolated moderate showers with thunder and lightening likely during the same period. In Sindh, south-eastern and coastal parts could get drizzle in next 2 days.

*2 more people have been killed by rains and winds in Punjab thus the death toll has rised to 63 in Pakistan since June 25, PWP will monitor the death rates during monsoon season. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded till 11:00 am PST in some cities of Pakistan;

  • Punjab
  • Faisalabad got 22 mm.
  • Jhelum got 13 mm.
  • Joharabad got 95 mm.
  • Mianwali got 84 mm.
  • Noorpur got 54 mm.
  • Sargodha got 51 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Balakot got 12 mm.
  • IslamabadSindh and Balochistan remained dry.

Date of issue – July 27

UAC moving westwards from Gujarat coast – Not a significant system now!

Western trough present over Pakistan – interacting with eastern moisture

2 people killed in Sindh while 8 in Bannu : PWP media

*Upper air cyclonic circulations after week long journey, touched the coast of Gujarat and are now moving westwards though it is extremely weak but one or two drizzle/light showers could occur in Karachi from July 28 mid-day/evening till July 29 night. Another UAC is over South Punjab which could cause some isolated thunder/light rain to moderate rain with chances (15%-25%) of few isolated heavy falls in Multan and other adjoining cities. A trough is also present over western coast of India.

*Western trough continues to interact with monsoon moisture over Upper Pakistan under that influence some more isolated heavy monsoon showers likely in Islamabad, north Punjab (Lahore, Faisalabad, Sialkot and other adjoining cities) Kashmir and eastern Khyber. PWP has forecasted that there are chances (35%-45%) of development of a strong thunderstorm over Upper Pakistan by July 28 on PWP-FB. Death toll rises to 61 in Pakistan since June 25, as 2 people have died in Sindh due to recent wind storms/rains while 8 people have died in Bannu due to isolated flash flooding in the region. PWP media will keep an eye on death toll that occurs due to weather-related incidents in Pakistan during monsoon season. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded till 11:00 am PST today in some cities of Pakistan;

  • Islamabad got 15 mm.
  • Punjab
  • Kamra got 25 mm.
  • Mianwali got 31 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Malam Jabba got 21 mm.
  • Cherat got 15 mm.
  • Lower DIR got 15 mm also.
  • Sindh
  • Karachi got 7.2 mm.
  • Hyderabad got 4 mm.
  • Mithi got 2 mm.
  • Balochistan
  • Ormara got 6 mm.

Date of issue – July 26

“Monsoon hits Karachi as forecasted by PWP”

*As forecasted by Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) since July 15, monsoon hit Karachi, coastal Sindh and south-eastern Sindh during last week of July as predicted by PWP. Monsoon hit Karachi on July 26 while south-eastern Sindh saw monsoon arrival on July 25.

*UAC is still present over south Gujarat while another is off the coast of Andhra Pradesh.

*Due to interaction between western trough and monsoon moisture more showers at times isolated moderate/heavy likely in Islamabad, Punjab and parts of Khyber. Chances of more but now drizzle/light spotty showers may occur in some parts of Sindh including Karachi. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded till 11:00 am PST today;

  • Islamabad got 90 mm.
  • Punjab
  • Kamra got 68 mm.
  • Murree got 20 mm.
  • Kashmir
  • Rawalakot got 32 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Risalapur got 175 mm.
  • Sindh
  • Badin got 31 mm.
  • Chhor got 6 mm.
  • Mithi got 3 mm.
  • Nawabshah got 22 mm.
  • Balochistan
  • Barkhan got 4 mm.

Date of issue – July 25

Low pressure now UAC – Another over BOB

Western and eastern interaction causes 129 mm rainfall in Islamabad till 6:00 pm 

9 lives taken today due to weather related incidents: PWP media

*Yesterday’s low pressure weakens into a upper air cyclonic circulations (UAC), it is over south Rajasthan and north Gujarat. Another UAC is over west central Bay of Bengal. Under the influence of the previous UAC, scattered moderate rainfall with isolated heavy rainfall still likely in coastal  (Karachi, Keti, Shah bander) and south-eastern Sindh (Mirpur Khas, Badin, Hyderabad) till July 26 mid-day, monsoon of 2011 has hit south-eastern Sindh as forecasted by PWP on July 15.

*A western trough over Giglit and Jammu & Kashmir persist that is still interacting with the monsoon moisture coming from the Arabian sea and UAC. Under the influence of these conditions scattered heavy rainfall to isolated very heavy rainfall likely in Islamabad, Northern Punjab (Lahore, Faisalabad, Sialkot and other adjoining cities), Kashmir and Khyber. This 4th spell will continue with peak but ocassional gaps in these areas till July 26 morning/mid-day/evening, then decrease is likely.  In Southern Punjab (Multan,Bahawalpur, Rahim Yar Khan and other adjoining cities) the 4th spell will continue till July 26 morning, rain will be mostly light to moderate in South Punjab. In Upper Sindh (Larkana, Sukker and other adjoining cities), the 3rd spell will cause scattered moderate rainfall with slim chances of isolated heavy falls likely till July 26 mid-day.

*As forecasted by the Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) in Pakistan update’s article on July 21, very heavy rainfall have occurred in Islamabad and adjoining areas of Punjab thus some 5 people died in Rawalpindi while 4 have been reported to sink in a local nullah. Rising the death toll to over all 51 since June 25.  Following is the amount of rainfall recorded today in Pakistan of few cities till 11:00 am PST;

  • Islamabad, capital got 50 mm. (Highest till 11:00 am in Pakistan)
  • Punjab
  • Sialkot got 8 mm.
  • Kashmir
  • Rawalakot got 2 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Risalpur got 18 mm.
  • Peshawar got 2 mm.
  • Sindh
  • Hyderabad got 3 mm.
  • Mirpur khas got 1 mm.
  • Balochistan
  • Lasbela got 9 mm.

Date of issue – July 24

Well-marked low pressure now a low pressure – rapidly weakening!

Western trough & Eastern moisture interaction: Very heavy rainfall in Punjab

Heat waves takes 2 more lives: PWP media report

*Yesterday’s well-marked low pressure has further weakened into a low pressure today. Its is over East Rajasthan and North-west Madya Pradesh, it is moving in a WSW direction towards Sindh. The low may reach Sindh now July 25 morning, while its influence may start in Sindh from July 24 mid-night. Under the influence of this system, widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall in Gujarat, Rajasthan and West Madya Pradesh in 24 to 48 hours then from July 25, scattered moderate rainfall (65%-70%) with chances (45%-55%) of isolated heavy falls and fast winds in coastal (Karachi, Keti, Shah bander) and South-eastern (Mirpur Khas, Badin, Hyderabad) Sindh till July 26 mid-day.

*There is a western trough over Giglit and Jammu & Kashmir that is interacting with the monsoon moisture coming from the Arabian sea and monsoon low pressure. Under the influence of these conditions scattered heavy rainfall to isolated very heavy rainfall and gusty winds likely in Islamabad, Northern Punjab (Lahore, Faisalabad, Sialkot and other adjoining cities), Kashmir and Khyber. This 4th spell will continue with peak in these areas till July 26 morning/mid-day/evening, then decrease is likely.  In Southern Punjab (Multan,Bahawalpur, Rahim Yar Khan and other adjoining cities) the 4th spell will continue till July 26 morning, rain will be mostly light to moderate in South Punjab. In Upper Sindh (Larkana, Sukker and other adjoining cities), the 3rd spell will cause scattered moderate rainfall with chances of isolated heavy falls likely from July 24 mid-day/July 25 morning till July 26 mid-day.

*Heat wave in upper Sindh has not vanished as 2 people have died due to heat stroke on July 23, thus the death toll has raised to 42 in Pakistan since June 25 according to Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP)’s media reports. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded today in Pakistan of few cities till 11:00 am PST;

  • Islamabad, capital got 99 mm. (Highest till 11:00 am in Pakistan)
  • Punjab
  • Jhelum got 49 mm.
  • Lahore got 53 mm.
  • Mangla got 51 mm.
  • Murree got 35 mm.
  • Kashmir
  • Kotli got 21 mm.
  • Rawalakot got 38 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Balakot got 79 mm.
  • Peshawar got traces.
  • Sindh
  • Karachi got traces.
  • Balochistan remained dry

Date of issue – July 23

“Depression now well-marked low pressure area”

“Western trough over North Pakistan”

*Yesterday’s depression is now over North Madya Pradesh as a well-marked low pressure area. It will move towards Sindh between July 24 and July 25.

*A western trough is over Gilgit and adjoining Jammu & Kashmir, it is interacting with monsoon currents from Arabian sea and monsoon low, under this influence isolated showers with thunder and winds likely in upper Pakistan that is Islamabad, Lahore, Faisalabad, Peshawar and other adjoining cities and increase after July 23 night. In lower Pakistan, the moisture from the well-marked low has started reaching Sindh, under that influence light showers in south-eastern Sindh and drizzle in coastal Sindh in 24 hours and increase there after. This is the 4th monsoon spell in Punjab, Khyber. While the second in Upper Sindh and 1st in south-eastern and coastal Sindh. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded today in Pakistan till 11:00 am PST:

  • Punjab
  • Lahore got 20 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Kalam got 2 mm.
  • Other parts of Pakistan remained dry.

Date of issue – July 22

“Low pressure gains strength to become a depression”

“4th monsoon spell has started in upper Pakistan”

*Yesterday’s low pressure has intensified into a depression and has moved from Jharkhand to south-east Utter Pradesh. Under the influence of this depression, widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall likely over Madya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Utter Pradesh and Gujarat. This depression will start to lose intensity in 24 hours and eventually become a well-marked low pressure area. Some models suggesting a WSW track while others are showing a WNW track. This system will affect Pakistan.

*The 4th monsoon spell has started in upper parts of Pakistan as monsoon moisture has started reaching upper parts of the country. Western trough is also interacting with the monsoon currents, therefore light to moderate showers likely during the next 48 hours in upper Punjab, Kashmir and parts of Khyber, rainfall intensity is very likely to increase from July 23 night in Upper parts of Pakistan. Rains will spread to other parts of the country after July 23 night, depending upon the track of this system. However drizzle in coastal Sindh and south-eastern Sindh in next 36 hours. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded today in Pakistan till 11:00 am PST;

  • Islamabad got 68 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Balakot got 39 mm.
  • Bannu got 25 mm.
  • Kohat got 12 mm.
  • Kashmir
  • Muzaffarabad got 8 mm.
  • Some cities of Punjab got traces.
  • Sindh and Balochistan remained dry.

Date of issue – July 21

“Low pressure area over West Bengal”

*Strong equatorial cross flow over Arabian sea still persist. Yesterday’s UAC over West Bengal intensify into a low pressure area, while another UAC is over Utter Pradesh.

*Mostly dry, humid and hot likely over Pakistan during next 24 to 48 hours. There is a western trough over North Pakistan with weak monsoon moisture under that influence some isolated showers with thunder likely in 12 to 24 hours in Northern Punjab and Kashmir. Fresh monsoon rainfall to begin in some parts after 48 hours. Following is the rainfall recorded in Pakistan today till 11:00 pm PST;

  • Sialkot, Punjab got 3 mm.
  • Kotli, Kashmir got 2 mm.

Date of issue – July 20

*Strong equatorial cross flow over Arabian sea still persist. Satellite image indicates massive clouds over North-West Bay of Bengal and some parts India, mainly central parts. UAC is over Utter Pradesh, while another one is over West Bengal.

*A western trough in over Gilgit and Jammu & Kashmir, while monsoon currents are mostly absent in the country except some weak currents over Kashmir. No rainfall likely in Pakistan during next 24 hours to 48 hours, however light showers could occur in Kashmir. Heat wave have returned to southern Pakistan as temperatures were 45°C in some cities of Upper Sindh as forecasted by PWP. This heat wave have killed 4 people in Jamshoro today and the death toll has risen from 36 to 40. These deaths are all weather-related and have occurred since June 25. No rainfall occurred in Pakistan today.

Date of issue – July 19

*Strong equatorial cross flow over Arabian sea persist. Low pressure now not forming in the Arabian sea according to GFS.

*Western trough present over Northern Pakistan and India’s Kashmir, while weak monsoon moisture interacting with it. Some isolated light to moderate showers (chances 25%-30%) likely in parts of Punjab, Khyber and Kashmir, while drizzle in coastal Sindh (5%-10%) and light rainfall (chances 10%-20%) in south-eastern Sindh. Other parts of country will remain dry and hot. Following is the rainfall of some cities in Pakistan that occurred till 11:00 am PST today;

  • Punjab
  • Joharabad got 33 mm.
  • Lahore got 28 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Peshawar got 7 mm.
  • Sindh
  • Diplo got 4 mm.
  • Balochistan
  • Barkhan got 7 mm.

Date of issue – July 18

*Upper air cyclonic circulations over Gujarat, Madya Pradesh and Punjab, while a strong equatorial cross flow over Arabian sea. Some models are showing a low pressure to form in the Arabian sea off the coast of Gujarat-Maharashtra border in next 2 to 3 days. Extremely heavy rainfall likely over central western coast of India. at least 150,000 people affected by floods in eastern India

*A western trough in over Gilgit and India’s Kashmir, while weak monsoon currents are seen interacting with the western trough. Under that influence, light to moderate rainfall in parts of Punjab, Khyber and Khyber. Due to presence of moist-laden winds near Sindh, some isolated showers may occur in south-eastern Sindh, while drizzle may coastal and upper Sindh. These conditions will continue till 24 hours. Rise in temperatures in many parts of Pakistan can be seen today as forecasted by PWP. Following is the amount of rainfall in Pakistan today till 11:00 am PST, only these cities got rainfall;

  • Punjab
  • Mianwali got 50 mm.
  • Noorpur got 14 mm.
  • Kashmir
  • Muzzaffarabad got 7 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Parachinar got 5 mm.
  • Sindh
  • Chor got 4 mm
  • Mithi got 2 mm
  • Balochistan remained dry.

Date of issue – July 17

*Upper air cyclonic circulation present over North-west Bay of Bengal and Gujarat. Heavy to very heavy rainfall likely over the south-western coastal areas of India including Bombay and Gujarat coast. Strong cross equatorial flow present in the Arabian sea and likely to persist.

*Hot and dry weather all over the country except some areas of Upper Sindh and South Punjab, where isolated showers likely during the next 24 to 36 hours. Third monsoon spell over in Pakistan, thus the temperatures have started rising in the country. Karachi saw 39 °C today due to change of wind direction, some clouds likely during night and the morning of July 18. Following is the amount of rainfall of some cities in Pakistan recorded till 11:00 am PST;

  • Islamabad got 4 mm.
  • Punjab
  • Jhelum got 32 mm.
  • Mangla got 44 mm.
  • Sialkot got 13 mm.
  • Kashmir
  • Muzaffarabad got traces
  • Rawalkot got 13 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Parachinar got 12 mm.
  • Balochistan
  • Barkhan got 13 mm.
  • Sibbi got 12 mm.
  • Sindh remained dry.

Date of issue – July 16

“There was no severe weather ahead in the first place!”

“Third spell coming to an end slowly slowly”

*There was never a chance of severe weather or any urban/flash flooding in the Upper parts of Pakistan as the national meteorological office issued severe weather warning yesterday. At the same time PWP issued a update on twitter and told that normal monsoon rainfall would occur in Upper parts of Pakistan and no severe weather or any kind of flooding was not likely and PWP was right.

*Yesterday’s monsoon low pressure over north Madya Pradesh and south Utter Pradesh dissipates.

*More thunderstorms likely as the third spell of monsoon continues in Upper Pakistan, though intensity has weakened in upper parts of Pakistan, there will be light to moderate rainfall in North Punjab, Khyber and Kashmir till July 17 mid-day. Islamabad could also get some showers till July 17. In Southern Punjab and upper Sindh, some isolated showers could occur till July 17 night. After July 17 night the third monsoon spell will be finished in Punjab, Khyber and Kashmir while the second monsoon spell will be finished in upper Sindh.

As for coastal Sindh, some light to moderate drizzle likely tomorrow, after that temperatures will rise in the country. Following is the amount of rainfall that occurred till 11:00 pm PST;

  • Islamabad got 83 mm.
  • Punjab
  • Kamra got 35 mm.
  • Lahore got 1 mm.
  • Multan got 6 mm.
  • Murree got 35 mm.
  • Sargodha got 41 mm.
  • Sialkot got 12 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Balakot got 43 mm.
  • Kakul got 22 mm.
  • Kashmir
  • Muzafarabad got 18 mm.
  • Sindh
  • Larkana got 10 mm.
  • Balochistan remained dry.

Date of issue – July 15

“Low pressure over India”

“Western trough and monsoon currents interacting”

*A low pressure persists over India, it has moved from east to north Madya Pradesh. Under the influence of this weather system, widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall likely over central and northern India.

*Western trough and strong monsoon currents are interacting with each other over Upper Pakistan. Under that influence scattered moderate rainfall to heavy rainfall with thunder and winds in north and south Punjab, eastern Khyber and Kashmir. Heavy rainfall expected in the cities of Islamabad, Lahore, Multan, Faisalabad, Muzaffarabad, Sahiwal, Sialkot, Rawalpindi, Peshawar and other adjoining cities. Weather will remain hot and dry in Sindh and Balochistan, with few events of drizzle in coastal and south-eastern Sindh. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded today in Pakistan till 11:00 pm PST;

  • Islamabad got 15 mm.
  • Punjab
  • Chakwal got 41 mm.
  • Lahore got 1 mm.
  • Kamra got 8 mm.
  • Jhelum got 12 mm.
  • Mandi-bahu-din got 75 mm. (Highest)
  • Gujranwala got 30 mm.
  • Kashmir
  • Rawalakot got 15 mm.
  • Kotli got 11 mm.
  • Muzaffarabad got 1 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Dir got 43 mm.
  • Malam Jabba got 62 mm.
  • Parachinar got 19 mm.
  • Sindh and Balochistan remained dry and hot.

Date of issue – July 14

“Heavy monsoon rainfall to start in Upper Pakistan” 

*A weak low pressure Chhatisgarh, India persist. Under the influence widespread heavy rainfall likely over central, north-east, north-west and some western areas of India.

*Western trough and monsoon currents have started interacting with each other from July 14, during the next 2 days starting from July 14 night till July 16 night, heavy monsoon rainfall with isolated very heavy falls likely in Punjab including Lahore, eastern Khyber including Peshawar and Kashmir.South Punjab that is Multan, will also get heavy rainfall during the same period. Islamabad will also get heavy rainfalls with isolated very heavy rainfall during the same period, after July 16 night the rains will become scattered. This third monsoon spell will continue till July 18. These rainfall will be accompained by thunder, lightening and fast to strong winds. Other parts of Pakistan will remain dry, however in coastal Sindh few drizzle may occur till July 16. Following is the amount of rainfall in Pakistan recorded till 11:00 pm PST;

  • Islamabad, capital got 78 mm. (highest)
  • Punjab
  • Kamra got 40 mm.
  • Lahore got 22 mm.
  • Murree got 32 mm.
  • Sialkot got 44 mm.
  • Kashmir
  • Rawalakot got 50 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Kakul got 13 mm.
  • Risalpur got 9 mm.
  • Sindh and Balochistan remained dry.

Date of issue – July 13

“Low pressure over the Bay of Bengal”

“Third monsoon spell reaching Upper Pakistan tonight”

“Western trough reaching Pakistan on July 14 night”

*A weak low pressure area forms in the North-West Bay of Bengal, PWP gave a news about this low pressure on July 7. This weather system will increase monsoon activity over many parts of India.

*Third monsoon spell to start in Upper parts of Pakistan, moderate monsoon moisture and western trough are likely to start interacting from July 14 night, under thats influence moderate with isolated heavy rainfall likely in Northern Punjab, eastern Khyber and Kashmir. Lahore, Faisalabad, Gujranwala, Sialkot, Sargodha and Islamabad will also get isolated heavy rainfall at times starting from tonight. In southern Punjab including Multan, some isolated rainfall with moderate falls likely from July 14 night. This third spell will start from July 13 night with drizzle, gain intensity on July 14 mid-day and continue till July 17 night/July 18 morning with occasional gaps, the intensity of monsoon moisture will increase from moderate to strong from July 14. Second monsoon spell may start in Upper Sindh including Sukkur around July 16 night and continue till 24 hours, as some thunderstorms might form over Upper Sindh.

In coastal and South-eastern Sindh including Karachi, due to the expected increasing level of monsoon moisture, mostly cloudy/cloudy weather will return with few events of drizzle. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded till 11:00 PST today;

  • Lahore, Punjab got 19 mm.
  • Rawalakot, Kashmir got 5 mm.
  • Karachi, Sindh got traces.

Date of issue – July 12

“Low pressure forming in the Bay of Bengal”

“No Monsoon rainfall – Hot and dry in Pakistan till 24 to 48 hours”

*Upper air cyclonic circulations over North-West Bay of Bengal to convert into a weak low pressure on July 12 night (tonight) or July 13, PWP gave a news about this low pressure on July 7. This weather system will bring widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall to many parts of India, it may move westwards.

*Western trough to approach Pakistan on July 14 night or July 15 morning. Hot, dry and humid in almost all parts of Pakistan during the next 24 to 48 hours. Following is the amount of monsoon rainfall recorded till 11:00 pm PST today;

  • No rainfall in any part of Pakistan except Barkhan, Baluchistan where 24 mm rainfall occurred.

Date of issue – July 11

*A fresh low pressure may form in the Bay of Bengal either tomorrow or day after tomorrow.

*Hot and dry in many parts of the country till 48 hours. Following is the amount of rainfall in Pakistan till 11:00 PST today;

  • Jhelum got 2 mm.
  • Mianwali got 3 mm.
  • Muzaffarabad got 2 mm.
  • Malam jabba got 5 mm.
  • Sindh and Balochistan remained dry.

Date of issue – July 10

*Isolated thunder showers might occur at one or two places of Punjab including Lahore, Faisalabad, Multan and other adjoining cities of Punjab. Overall dry and humid weather is expected in most parts of the country. This rainy second monsoon spell will end tonight or tomorrow morning, after that a dry period in expected all over the country for 24 to 48 hours. Following is the rainfall recorded today till 11:00 am PST;

  • Islamabad got 20 mm.
  • Kamra got 30 mm.
  • Multan got TR.
  • Risalpur got 33 mm.
  • Barkhan got 4 mm.

Date of issue – July 9

“Monsoon covers India – One week ahead!”

“Monsoon advances into Upper Sindh as expected by PWP”

*Monsoon has advanced into the remaining parts of Rajasthan and has now covered whole India on July 9, a week eariler than normal onset date. Isolated heavy rainfall may occur in Gujarat and Rajasthan during the next 48 hours. Western trough present over Indian Kashmir.

*Monsoon has advanced into very few areas of upper Sindh while many areas of South Punjab, monsoon has covered Khyber, North Punjab and Kashmir completely, western trough now leaving Pakistan. More isolated to scattered rainfall likely in Punjab including Lahore and Faisalabad, Khyber including Peshawar and Kashmir. In Southern Punjab and Upper Sindh, Multan and Sukkur, may get isolated light rainfall. This spell will continue in Punjab, Upper Sindh, Khyber and Kashmir till 24 to 48 hours after that a brief gap is expected. In coastal parts of Sindh including Karachi may get drizzle during the next 48 hours with windy conditions, while south-eastern Sindh may get brief light rainfall in 48 hours. Following is the amount of rainfall that occurred till 11:00 am PST today;

  • Islamabad, capital got 75 mm.
  • Punjab: Khanpur got 44 mm.
  • Lahore got 104 mm.
  • Sialkot got 98 mm.
  • Khyber: Pattan got 48 mm.
  • Peshawar got 30 mm.
  • Sindh: Jacobabad got 31 mm.
  • Rohri got 42 mm.
  • Dadu got 3 mm.
  • Sukkur got 8 mm.
  • Larkana got TR.
  • Balochistan: Barkhan got 16 mm.
  • Quetta got 1 mm.

Date of issue – July 8

“Second spell of monsoon lashing Upper Pakistan”

“Monsoon surrounds whole Gujarat – Rajasthan to be surrounded in 2 to 3 days”

“Monsoon hitting Upper Sindh in 24 to 48 hours”

*Low pressure has dissipated over west Madya Pradesh. Monsoon has advanced over whole Gujarat and most of Rajasthan. It will advance over whole Rajasthan in 2 to 3 days and India will be covered by monsoon after that. A fresh low pressure area might form in the Bay of Bengal in about 4 to 6 days.

*Monsoon currents and western trough continue to affect Pakistan. Scattered light to scattered moderate with isolated heavy rainfall likely over North Punjab and eastern Khyber. In North Punjab, Lahore, Faisalabad and all other adjoining cities will get moderate rainfall with isolated heavy falls. In Khyber, Peshawar will also get Moderate rainfall. In South Punjab, Multan will also get light rainfall with isolated moderate falls. This spell will continue till 2 to 3 days, after that a gap is expected.

In Sindh, Karachi and coastal Sindh will remain covered with few passing clouds or some cloudy cover that may cause drizzle till July 10 mid-night, conditions will be windy. Chances of monsoon entering Upper Sindh including Sukkur in next 48 hours, however rainfall will isolated drizzle/light rainfall in nature. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded today till 11:00 am PST;

  • Islamabad, Capital got 12 mm.
  • Mianwali, Punjab got 22 mm.
  • Sialkot got 5 mm.
  • Muzaffarabad, Kashmir got 16 mm.
  • Bannu, Khyber got 67 mm.
  • Peshawar got 3 mm.
  • Kakul got 25 mm.
  • Risalpur got 32 mm.
  • While Sindh and Balochistan remained dry.

Date of issue – July 7

*A weak low pressure is now over Madya Pradesh and will keep causing isolated very heavy rainfall over the areas which are under its influence. Monsoon will further advance into some more parts of Gujarat and Rajasthan in 24 to 48 hours. A fresh low pressure might form in the Bay of Bengal in 4 to 5 days.

*Second monsoon spell has reached Punjab including Lahore, Kashmir, Islamabad and Khyber and under that influence scattered light to moderate showers with isolated heavy rainfall likely in some parts of Punjab and Khyber. The monsoon currents are also interacting with a western trough that is over Gilgit and Azad Kashmir, and moving towards Indian Kashmir. In South Punjab, Multan is also expected to get light to isolated moderate rainfall. Balochistan will remain hot and dry.The second monsoon spell will continue till 3 to 4 days in Upper Pakistan after that it is expected that a break will follow and after that a third spell of monsoon will hit these same areas. First Monsoon spell has not hit any part of Sindh yet, however drizzle is expected in Karachi till July 10 night, while light rainfall may also occur in south-eastern Sindh during the same period. Following is the amount of rainfall today till 11 am PST;

  • Islamabad got 51 mm.
  • Jhelum, Punjab got 73 mm.
  • Murree got 49 mm.
  • Sialkot got 35 mm.
  • Gujarawala got 55 mm.
  • Muzaffarabad, Azad Kashmir got 52 mm.
  • Kakul, Khyber got 28 mm.
  • Panjgur, Balochistan got 7 mm.
  • Zhob got 4mm
  • Sindh remained dry.

Date of issue – July 6

“Second monsoon spell to hit Punjab”

“Low pressure over India”

*The Low pressure area that was over south Chhattisgarh and adjoining Telengana has now moved over Vidarbha and adjoining south Chhattisgarh and Telangana. The low will bring widespread rainfall activity over India. Monsoon has hit some more parts of Gujarat, and the intensity of monsoon will gradually increase after 24 to 48 hours. The low is sending monsoon currents to Pakistan.

*The second spell of monsoon will hit Punjab including Lahore and Faisalabad either tonight or tomorrow morning, while eastern Khyber will get rainfall from tomorrow night. Scattered Light to Scattered moderate monsoon rainfall will occur in these provinces with isolated heavy falls till few days. Rainfall expected in Kashmir and Islamabad too during this period. Balochistan, that is large part will remain dry. Second monsoon rainfall expected in South Punjab including Multan from July 7 mid-night. In Sindh, south-eastern parts (Badin and Mirpur Khas) may get one or two brief first monsoon of 2011 light rainfall/showers from July 7 night. Coastal parts including Karachi will get some clouds/overcast, while chances of light rainfall from July 8.

*Altocumulus clouds and Cirrus clouds were observed in Karachi on July 6, that were coming from NE, winds also changed their direction from WSW to WNW this morning. Following is the amount of rainfall in Pakistan today;

  • No rainfall occurred in any part of Pakistan today.

Date of issue – July 5

*UAC over Bay of Bengal converted into a low pressure, the system will revive the monsoon that was on short break, widespread rainiy activty likely over India including central india. Monsoon expected to advance into Gujarat and Rajasthan after 24 hours. The low will lose intensity rapidly.

*Hot, dry and Humid conditions over Punjab, Khyber, Balochistan, Sindh, FATA and Gilgit. However one or two showers might occur in Kashmir. Second spell of monsoon will start from after 48 hours in Punjab, Khyber and Kashmir. The first monsoon spell of 2011 “may” hit Sindh during next 3 to 4 days with strong gusty winds. However not all models suggest that first monsoon spell will hit Sindh any time soon.  Following is the amount of rainfall in Pakistan today;

  • Parachinar got 24 mm rainfall.
  • No rainfall was reported in Pakistan today.

Date of issue – July 4

*UAC forms over North-west Bay of Bengal, it should revive the monsoon that is on break for 3 days in India.

*Dry and humid weather likely over most parts of Pakistan, few isolated drizzle to light rain could occur in few parts of Northern Punjab and adjoining Khyber. Partly cloudy in coastal Sindh.

Following are the amount of rainfall in Pakistan today;

  • Lahore, Punjab got 31 mm.
  • Islamabad traces.
  • Multan, Punjab traces.
  • Jhang, Punjab got 62 mm.
  • Sibbi, Balochistan got 33 mm.
  • Sindh remained dry.

Date of issue – July 3

“Monsoon on break for 3 days!”

“Dry and humid mostly – Few rainfall in Punjab”

*Few isolated rainfall accompained by lightening/thunder with fast winds in parts Punjab especially Lahore and Faisalabad during next 36 hours to 48 hours, a weak western trough is over upper parts of Pakistan that is interacting with monsoon currents. Mainly hot, dry and humid else where with partly/mostly cloudy periods. Monsoon is now on break, should revive around July 6. Monsoon will then advance further in those areas where monsoon has not settled yet including Indian state of Gujarat and Rajasthan.

In Sindh, coastal areas and south-eastern parts will see partly cloudy/mostly cloudy conditions. Atleast 8 people have died in Punjab due to dust storms and rain, increasing the death toll to 29 since June 25 in Pakistan, these deaths were all weather-related. Following is the amount of rainfall;

  • Islamabad got 5 mm.
  • Mianwali got 17 mm.
  • Risalpur go 41 mm.
  • Sindh and Balochistan remained dry.

Date of issue – July 2

*More isolated rainfall with thunder/lightening with isolated moderate falls likely at few places of Punjab including Lahore, Faisalabad. In Multan, drizzle to light rainfall may occur however partly sunny conditions will prevail mostly. Islamabad, may get isolated rainfall too. In Khyber province, only eastern parts may get isolated light rainfall including Peshawar. In Balochistan, north-eastern parts may get some one or two isolated light rainfall. This spell will dissipate in 36 hours. After that dry with partly cloudy/cloudy weather with few events of drizzle/light rainfall but mostly dry weather expected in those areas till few days.

In Sindh, south-eastern parts that is Mirpur Khas and Badin may get drizzle. In coastal Sindh, partly cloudy/mostly cloudy conditions to prevail. Following are the monson rainfall recorded today;

  • Lahore, Punjab got 16 mm.
  • Multan, Punjab got 4 mm.
  • Okara, Punjab got 57 mm.
  • Sahiwal, Punjab got 32 mm.
  • Muzaffarabad, Kashmir got 4 mm.
  • D.I Khan, Khyber got 35 mm.
  • Khuzdar, Balcohistan got 8 mm.
  • Badin, Sindh got TR.

Date of issue – July 1

Bay of Bengal to get active soon for monsoon!

Monsoon in full swing in Punjab!

*A low pressure dissipated over central India. Western trough moving towards east, over Indian Kashmir.

*More scattered thunder showers likely in Northern Punjab including Islamabad and Lahore. While isolated showers in eastern Khyber and Azad Kashmir. In Southern Punjab, isolated rainfall with thunder likely including Multan. In Sindh, mainly sunny conditions in the province, however cloudy conditions with sunny intervals expected in coastal Sindh including Karachi. Following are the monsoon rainfall recorded on July 1 for some cities;

  • Lahore, Punjab got 61 mm rainfall.
  • Islamabad got 34 mm rainfall.
  • Murree, Punjab got 30 mm rainfall.
  • Multan, Punjab got TR.
  • Kakul, Khyber got 15 mm rainfall.
  • Barkhan, Balochistan got 12 mm rainfall.
  • While Balochistan and Sindh remained dry.
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