Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon alert (September 2 – September 9)

  • 3 people lost their lives in Sindh

  • 88 mm rainfall in Kalat

  • NE winds in Karachi since 5 days!

Background

Heavy rainfalls have battered the province of Sindh once again that has made many people homeless while large number of land has also been flooded as feared. Flooding has also occurred in FATA and Khyber province. Monsoon was highly active all over the monsoon belt of the country since last few days especially Sindh which saw around 100 mm rainfall during the last few days. Temperatures remained in comfort-zone, while humidity remained high across the country, some stray thunderstorms passed into the non-monsoonal regions of Pakistan.

Factors

Precipitation and Temperature

The weather factors as of September 2, which are as follows;

*Low pressure in the north-eastern sector of Arabian sea has intensified, pressure dropped from 998 mbar to 996 mbar.

*Another low pressure over Madya Pradesh that formed as an upper air cyclonic circulations in the Bay of Bengal few days back.

*Temperatures are expected to remain in comfort zone and not expected to change while humidity will remain high due to frequent showers in some areas.

Weather-related incidents: Fresh destruction in Sindh

Heavy monsoon downpour have created another wave of destruction for the people of Sindh as many area of land has been flooded while a number of houses have collapsed. On September 2, at least 3 people have died in Sindh due to same reason. The death toll since June 25 has now raised to 211.

Monsoon News of Pakistan

  • Heavy monsoon showers batter Sindh

  • Ending Monsoon brings destruction

  • More rainfall expected!

Monsoon is expected to remain active in the monsoon belt of Pakistan during the next few days. During the coming period monsoon moisture is likely to continue to penetrate in almost all monsoon belt of the country with few gaps.

*5th monsoon spell in Sindh is likely to re-intensify.

*After the short 7th monsoon spell in upper Pakistan, another 8th spell may start.

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP)’s forecast

“Notice: This is the forecast from Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP), we are 65% confident with this prediction. There will be slight variations in our forecast as certain meteorological factors develop and fade as time passes by and these factors are too isolated to be noticed on numerical charts or models. According to various meteorological parameters this forecast has been made.”

  • Forecast for Sindh will be revised when necessary
PWP Map: Expected conditions from September 4 till 2 days

As of 8:00 pm PST September 2, Various models, numerical charts and other meteorological parameters observed by PWP indicate that;

*The low pressure over Madya Pradesh is likely to send fresh monsoon moisture to south-eastern Sindh on September 3 night/September 4 morning, also the present low in the Arabian sea will also leave some moisture over Sindh but after September 2 night.

*Monsoon winds from Sindh will move again towards Balochistan and south Punjab.

Following is the weather forecast that is expected;

Islamabad

Rainfall will start in the capital around September 4, it will be light to moderate intensity and continue till few days with few gaps .

Mercury is expected in Islamabad;

  • 32 °C to 35 °C in Islamabad.

Punjab

In Northern Punjab: Lahore, Faisalabad, Murree, Rawalpindi, Sargodha, Sialkot and other adjoining cities. Rainfall with scattered moderate falls expected from September 4. Rain will be accompanied by thunder and fast winds.

Following is the temperature forecast for Northern Punjab;

  • 32 °C to 35 °C in Lahore.
  • 33°C to 48 °C in Faisalabad.
  • 28°C to 33°C in Murree.

In Southern Punjab: Bahawalpur, Multan, Rahim Yar Khan, D. G. Khan and other adjoining cities. Rainfall will be  moderate and chances of isolated heavy falls expected after 2 days. Rain will be accompanied by thunder and fast winds.

In Southern Punjab;

  • 34 °C to 36 °C in Multan.
  • 34 °C to 38 °C in  Bahawalpur.

Sindh

In Upper Sindh: Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Kashmore, Nawabshah and other adjoining  cities. The fresh monsoon winds will enter from September 3 or September 4 morning and continue till 2 to 3 days. Rain will be accompanied by winds and thunder, it will be moderate in intensity with chances of isolated heavy falls..

Temperatures forecast for Upper Sindh.

  • 32 °C to 37 °C in Sukkur.
  • 34 °C to 38 °C also in Larkana.
  • 35 °C to 38 °C in Nawabshah.

In South-eastern Sindh: Mirpur khas, Umerkot, Tharparkar, Badin and Hyderabad. The monsoon winds are likely to intensify from September 3 or September 4 morning till 2 to 3 days. Rain will be accompanied by fast winds and thunder, it will be mostly heavy in intensity with chances of isolated very heavy falls in some  eastern parts. There are fresh chances of flooding in Mirpur Khas and Badin districts. 

Temperatures will also calm in south-eastern Sindh due to long spell of very heavy rainfall during last few days.

  • 32 °C to 33 °C in Hyderabad.

In coastal Sindh: Karachi, Thatta, Keti, Shah Bandar and other coastal localities. The current monsoon spell will re-intensify from September 3 night/September 4 and continue 2 days, Rain will be accompanied by fast winds and thunder, it will be moderate in intensity with chances of isolated heavy falls in Karachi while chances of scattered heavy rainfall in Keti Bandar and Thatta.

Due to frequent cloud over and fast winds the mercury in Karachi and other coastal cities has remained unchanged since July 1;

  • 31 °C to 34°C in Karachi.
This monsoon activity will continue till September 6 in Sindh then a decrease is expected in Sindh.

Poll of the week

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wants to know about your thoughts that;

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196 replies to “Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon alert (September 2 – September 9)”

  12. Can’t believe that this strong low pressure is giving heavy rains to whole Sindh and south Punjab and East Balochistan except Karachi.

    woOooOOooo0ow !

    Reply

  14. Salam babar bhai.Babar bhai Mirpurkhas City m 6 din se wakfy wakfy se halki our tez barish jari hai our eid k 2nd day to heavy to very heavy rain howi thi.kya aisi rain abhi phir se ho sakti hai aainda 3 din m?agr han to kix din pary gi very heavy rain???

    Reply

      2. when there are only chances of rainfall, what could I tell you more?? showers have occurred today in some parts…I think Karachiites should be happy..keeping in mind that after these 2 weeks there wont by any chance of rainfall, but all dry months…

  16. PMD’s IR image sh0wing THUNDERSTORMS c0ming towards Karachi.

    According to PMD, the current spell in Sindh will bec0me stronger on sunday.

    Reply

  19. yeah your right wasey bhi its like it hasnt rained in karachi of what we expectd yaar every part of Sindh is flooded every part of Sindh got meaningful rains excpt karachi what a joke i swear

    Reply

  25. @SAAD :

    Monsoon over for Karachi.
    This strong low pressure didn’t gave any meaningful rains.
    So, it’s better not to expect any rains fr0m the c0ming low pressure too.

    Reply

    1. 4 km/h right now, temp is 33 °C (hot for night), humidity at 55% (rising) all do signal some more showery activity, however the thunderstorm that formed over central SIndh in the afternoon, its one hand is passing over Karachi to head towards ARB..its a small thunderstorm, much is over Gujarat..

      Reply

  42. @KM :

    Yesterday, the clouds didn’t came like this and the wind didn’t started bl0wing like this.
    Winds suddenly started bl0wing from the North at 30km/h and n0w the winds
    are calm again. :O

    Reply

  55. @KM :

    BBC map sh0wing that a LOW PRESSURE will reach Sindh by 9th september night/10th september.

    Are they showing the same LOW PRESSURE to come towards Karachi that
    will form in few days ?

    Reply

  58. guyz don’t waste your time for rain in karachi. i think karachi metro,bbc,pakmet and all the other websites failed to predict rains in karachi aur agar karachi mai heavy rains honi hoten tu wo first spell mai hi hojati.now forget heavy rain in karachi this year.

    Reply

  62. Still don’t think that it will rain.
    Like always.
    Heat is only what Karachi can GET.
    it was so F*****G hot today yar kya masla ha Yeh :@:@:@

    Reply

  65. The CUMULONIMBUS clouds that are coming from NE are at a higher altitude than the CIRRUS CLOUDS which means that they are capable of heavy downpours.
    Maybe Hails too.

    Reply

  72. High level clouds over Karachi right n0w.
    No rain clouds bc0z if they were.
    There would have been s0me lightning activity.

    Reply

  74. babar bhai kya 6th speel jo k expected hai 11th september se kya us speel m Mirpurkhas City m rains expected hai?agr han to kitni shidat k sath???

    Reply

  96. Karachi Metro ! Larkana Got Some Heavy Showers In Today In Morning Then after 11 Am weather is cloudy . ! so whats further update for larkana city ? Heavy Moderate Showers will occur here ? and how many days this spell will continue in larkana !! KARACHI METRO sir please give me reply as soon as possible thanks

    Reply

  100. @evereyone
    tofaaaAAAAAAAAAAani bharish ho rhi ha yar bhut Tez se bhi tez

    zIg zag lightening bhi ha bhut

    @KM
    aur kitni hogi bharish ?????????/

    Reply

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