This is actually a part of Monsoon of Pakistan page

Date of issue – September 19

“Monsoon 2012 has withdrawn from Pakistan on September 19!”

LAST UPDATE: Monsoon has withdrawn from the country as an anti-cyclone has formed over central Punjab and adjoining areas of Pakistan and India as of September 19 as dry weather is expected to prevail till many days. Post-monsoon activity was observed over south-eastern Sindh however it was not significant. There are slight chances of a weak post-monsoon activity in south-eastern Sindh during this weekend.

Following is the rainfall recorded in the month of September in some cities (Data taken from National Weather Department);

• Islamabad got 405 mm rainfall from September 1 till September 18.
• Lahore got 235 mm rainfall from September 1 till September 18.
• Karachi got 120 mm rainfall from September 5 till September 15.
• Hyderabad got 110 mm rainfall from September 5 till September 15.

Date of issue – September 18

Monsoon is in withdrawing phases

Western disturbance ’21’ is over extreme northern areas now, it has become unimportant.

Monsoon is withdrawing from the country, mostly dry weather is expected in the country. Following is the rainfall recorded;

• Islamabad got 31 mm.
• Punjab
• Rawalkot got 105 mm.
• Lahore got 74 mm.
• Mangla got 49 mm.
• Murree got 45 mm.

Date of issue – September 17

Significant rainfall recorded in northern areas!

11th Spell weakening over upper parts, 8th mostly ended in south Punjab

A western disturbance ’21’ is over northern Pakistan and adjoining area. Eastern winds over the country are weakening.

Dry weather is expected in the southern parts of the country. The eleventh spell would continue till September 18 night with strong winds. It has weakened to some extent however it has some potential to cause isolated heavy falls in few isolated parts of northern areas on September 18 morning after that it would weaken significantly. Eighth spell is coming to an end in south Punjab however drizzle/isolated showers could occur in south Punjab tonight/September 18 morning after that the spell would end. Following is the rainfall recorded in some cities;

• Islamabad got 114 mm.
• Punjab
• Okara got 117 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 59 mm.
• Murree got 52 mm.
• Lahore got 49 mm.
• Faisalabad got 43 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Muzaffarabad got 73 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Balakot got 67 mm.
• Abbottabad got 54 mm.

Date of issue – September 16

Heavy rainfall could occur over northern areas in 24 hours

A western disturbance ’21’ is over northern Pakistan and adjoining area. Eastern winds over the country are weakening.

Dry weather is expected in the southern parts of the country. The eleventh spell would continue till early next week with strong winds. Isolated heavy downpour (with some chances of scattered heavy downpour) with strong winds (<=56 km/h) may occur northern Punjab and Azad Kashmir including Islamabad and Lahore on September 16 night/September 17. Drizzle/light rainfall has occurred over few parts of south Punjab hence the eighth spell has started in the area as forecasted by PWP, chances of more showers. Following is the rainfall recorded in some cities;

• Punjab
• Mianwali got 65 mm.
• N.P.Thal got 42 mm.
• Gujranwala got 41 mm.
• Sahiwal got 39 mm.
• Faisalabad got 25 mm.
• Jang got 23 mm.
• Lahore got 9 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 8 mm.
• South Punjab
• Bahawalnagar got 3 mm.
• Kashmir
• Kotli got 16 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Peshawar got 12 mm.

Date of issue – September 15

A western disturbance ’21’ is over northern Pakistan and adjoining area. Eastern winds over the country are weakening.

Dry weather is expected in the southern parts of the country. The eleventh spell would continue till early next week with strong winds (<=56 km/h). From September 16, a weak eighth spell could start in south Punjab hence PWP maintains the chance of 8th spell to ‘extremely high’. Following is the rainfall recorded in some cities;

• Punjab
• N.P.Thal got 62 mm.
• Lahore got 30 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Lower Dir got 33 mm.
• Kashmir
• Muzaffarabad got 22 mm.

Date of issue – September 14

Monsoon weakening – Westerlies taking over the country!

More rainfall mainly from westerlies in the North

A fresh western disturbance ’21’ is over northern Pakistan and adjoining area. Eastern winds over the country are weakening.

Dry weather is expected in the southern parts of the country. The eleventh spell has started in the northern areas as forecasted by PWP since September 10, this spell would continue till early next week with strong winds (<=56 km/h). From September 15/September 16, a weak eighth spell could start in south Punjab hence PWP upgrades the chance of 8th spell to ‘extremely high’. Following is the rainfall recorded in some cities;

• Islamabad  got 46 mm.
• Punjab
• Pak Pattan got 45 mm.
• Sialkot got 22 mm.
• Rawalpindi and Jhelum got 14 mm.

Date of issue – September 13

Monsoon spell ends in Sindh with destruction!

Fresh monsoon activity in the North!

A fresh western disturbance ’21’ is moving towards the northern parts of the country, it would reach by September 14 night/September 15.

Dry weather is expected however the 11th spell is expected in the northern areas including Islamabad from September 14 night/ September 15 with strong winds (<=56 km/h) hence PWP upgrades the chance of 11th spell to ‘extremely high’. During the same period weak eighth spell could start in south Punjab hence PWP upgrades the chance of 8th spell to ‘very high’. Following is the rainfall recorded in some cities

• Sindh
• Karachi got 27 mm.
• Thatta got 8 mm.

Date of issue – September 12

Upper air cyclonic circulation over Sindh and adjoining area persists, it continues to attract moisture from the low pressure over north-western Madya Pradesh that has now also weakened into an upper air cyclonic circulation. Western disturbance ’20’ is moving eastwards.

Dry weather is expected in the country over many parts of the country with chances of rain/showers in few parts of Sindh including Karach till September 13 after that the spell would be in ending phases. The 11th spell would start in the northern areas from the weekend, hence PWP upgrade the chance of this spell hitting northern areas to “very high”, during the same period a weak eighth spell could also occur in south Punjab, hence PWP forecast the chance of eighth spell hitting south Punjab to ‘poor’ at the moment. Following is the rainfall recorded in parts of the country;

• Sindh
• Nawabshah got 46 mm.
• Karachi got 25 mm.
• Chhor got 12 mm.

Date of issue – September 11

Monsoon spell coming to North Punjab!

Monsoon activity weakens significantly over Sindh

89 people dead!

Yesterday’s low pressure has weakened into an upper air cyclonic circulation as expected, with that the overall rainfall coverage over the lower parts of the country has reduced significantly. A low pressure is over north Madya Pradesh and adjoining parts of India. A fresh monsoon spell is likely in the northern area after few days, it would be the eleven spell in that parts hence PWP upgrades the chance of 11th spell in northern areas to ‘high’. Monsoon is withdrawing from the country during the third week of September. Western disturbance ’20’ is over northern areas.

Dry weather is expected in the country as the tenth and seventh spell has ended in their respective areas however drizzle/isolated shower may occur in south Punjab while isolated moderate shower could occur in eastern Balochistan. The seventh spell would continue in Sindh including Karachi for two days more than expected earlier as UAC has started attracting moisture from the fresh low pressure over central India under that influence more rainfall with thunder/lightning may occur in some parts of the province while slim chances of isolated heavy rainfall over north-eastern and adjoining upper parts of Sindh. Following is the rainfall recorded in some cities of the country;

• South Punjab
• Rahim Yar Khan got 59 mm.
• Sindh
• Benazirabad got 41 mm.
• Karachi got 6 mm.
• Hyderabad got 5 mm.

Date of issue – September 10

10th spell ended in the North! – 7th coming to an end in south Punjab – 6th would end tomorrow in Sindh

80 people dead in Pakistan during the current spell

Low pressure over eastern India!

New spell coming to North Punjab!

Low pressure is over Sindh, it is moving westwards/WNW and weakening gradually. Western disturbance ’20’ is over northern Pakistan. A fresh low pressure area has formed over eastern India. Monsoon would withdraw during the third week of September.

The tenth spell in the northern areas has ended, chances of drizzle/shower in north-western parts as western disturbance ’20’ is attracting moisture. Seventh spell is coming to an end in south Punjab however rain with thunder/lightning may occur over south-eastern parts of south Punjab. Rain activity has decreased over Sindh however some rainfall with thunder/lightning may occur over south-western parts including Karachi during mid-night. Sixth spell would end tomorrow in Sindh after that there would be chances of drizzle/isolated shower. A fresh monsoon spell is likely in the northern area after few days, it would be the eleven spell in that parts hence PWP forecasts the 11th spell in northern areas to ‘moderate’. Following is the rainfall recorded in some cities of the country;

• Sindh
• Jacobabad got 441 mm.
• Sukkur got 192 mm.
• Larkana got 94 mm.
• Karachi got 9 mm.
• South Punjab
• Rohri got 179 mm.
• Khanpur 145 mm.
• D.G Khan got 80 mm.

Date of issue – September 9

Monsoon activity weakening over the country – Rains ending in south Punjab!

Chances of more Heavy rainfall in Sindh till 36 hours 

39 dead – Death toll reaches 69 during this spell!

Low pressure over south-west Rajasthan and adjoining Sindh has absorbed the UAC in the Arabian sea, thus it is now situated over Gujarat coast and adjoining south-eastern Sindh, a rapid change in track, it would move westward into lower eastern Balochistan from Sindh and dissipate. Chances of more heavy rainfall in south-eastern and adjoining coastal Sindh including Karachi till 36 hours. Rain intensity over South Punjab has weakened to some extent. Western disturbance ’20’ is over northern Pakistan persists, it is attracting moisture towards northern areas.

More thunder/lightning with rainfall/showers in the northern as tenth spell continues till 24 to 36 hours, it is losing intensity rapidly. There are chances are chances of isolated heavy downpour in central areas (south Punjab) with thunder/lightning as seventh spell continues in the areas till 12 to 24 hours after that seventh spell would end. More chances of rainfall with thunder/lightning at times isolated heavy rainfall expected in Sindh including Karachi till 36 hours after that the sixth spell would weaken significantly. Following is the rainfall recorded in some cities of the country;

• South Punjab
• Khanpur got 199mm.
• Rahim Yar Khan got 123 mm.
• D.G.Khan got 96 mm.
• Multan got 77 mm.
• Bahawalnagar got 73 mm.
• Bahawalpur got 61 mm.
• North Punjab
• Sahiwal got 95 mm.
• Okara got 94 mm.
• Sindh
• Chhor got 67 mm.
• Hyderabad got 52 mm.
• Thatha got 32 mm.
• Jaccobabad got 28 mm.
• Nawabshah got 21 mm.
• Karachi got 3 mm.

Date of issue – September 8

Day 4: Rain continues in Karachi – Chances of more rain in Sindh!

Low pressure over south-west Rajasthan and north-eastern Sindh and adjoining south Punjab. Low pressure over northern Arabian sea and adjoining Gujarat and Sindh has moved westward, it has weakened into an UAC. The low pressure over Rajasthan could merge with it in 24 to 36 hours, that could result in rains to continue with gaps till next week in Sindh including Karachi. Western disturbance ’20’ is over northern Pakistan, it is attracting moisture from both the lows towards to the northern areas.

More thunder/lightning with rainfall with chances of isolated  heavy downpour in the northern (chances of scattered heavy rainfall in north-eastern parts) as tenth spell continues there, it is losing intensity. There are chances are still chances of scattered heavy downpour in central areas (south Punjab) with thunder/lightning as seventh spell continues in the areas till two days. More chances of rainfall with thunder/lightning at times isolated heavy rainfall expected in Sindh including Karachi till week end. After that the intensity of the current spell would weaken all over the country significantly. Following is the rainfall recorded in some cities of the country;

• Islamabad got 66 mm.
• Sindh
• Chorr got 80 mm.
• Larkana got 57 mm.
• Mithi got 53 mm.
• Thatta got 28 mm.
• Moen-do-Daro got 26 mm.
• Nawabshah got 13 mm.
• Karachi got 4.7 mm.
• South Punjab
• Multan got 47 mm.
• Bahawalnagar got 21 mm.
• North Punjab
• Lahore got 20 mm.
• Faisalabad got 17 mm.

Date of issue – September 7

30 deaths during since last few days!

Day 3: More heavy showers lashed Karachi during the morning – more rainfall expected!

Low pressure over west Madya Pradesh and adjoining eastern Rajasthan has moved westward in the last 24 hours and it is now situated over south-west Rajasthan and adjoining south Punjab and upper Sindh, it would move westwards/WNW. Low pressure over northern Arabian sea and adjoining Gujarat and Sindh has moved westward, it has weakened. Western disturbance ’20’ is over northern Pakistan, it is absorbing moisture from both the lows.

More thunder/lightning with rainfall with chances (65% ) scattered  heavy downpour expected in the northern (mostly north-eastern parts) and central areas (south Punjab) with thunder/lightning as tenth and seventh spell respectively continues in these areas. More chances of rainfall with thunder/lightning at times isolated (55%) heavy rainfall expected in Sindh including Karachi till week end. 

7 more deaths have occurred in the country due to rain-related incidents causing death toll during this spell to rise to 30. Following is the rainfall that occurred in some cities;

• Islamabad got 6 mm.
• Sindh
• Dadu got 82 mm.
• Karachi got 65 mm.
• Padiden got 57 mm.
• Hyderabad got 35 mm.
• Mithi got 39 mm.
• Thatta got 20 mm.
• Balochistan
• Ziarat got 25 mm.
• Sibbi got 18 mm.
• Kashmir
• Muzaffarabad got 36 mm.
• Punjab
• Murree got 10 mm.

Date of issue – September 6

Local flooding: Heavy showers continue in the country – Likely to continue!

Day 2 – Heavy rainfall in Karachi – More rainfall expected in Sindh

23 deaths occurred in the country

Yesterday’s Well-marked low pressure area is over Madya Pradesh and adjoining area has weakened into a low pressure over west Madya Pradesh and adjoining eastern Rajasthan, it would move westwards/WNW. Upper air cyclonic circulation over northern Arabian sea and adjoining Gujarat and Sindh has gained a minimum intensity of a low pressure, it would move westward. Western disturbance ’20’ is over northern Pakistan, it is absorbing moisture from both the lows. Monsoon may start to withdraw during the third week of September.

More thunder/lightning with rainfall with chances (65% ) scattered  heavy downpour expected in the northern areas as the tenth spell would continue. Seventh spell has hit south Punjab as well, more thunder/lightning with rainfall with some chances of isolated heavy rainfall expected in the cities of South Punjab till this week. More chances of rainfall with thunder/lightning at times isolated (55%) heavy rainfall expected in Sindh including Karachi till this week. 

23 deaths have occurred in the country due to rain-related incidents. Following is the rainfall that occurred in some cities;

• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Peshawar got 88 mm.
• Lower Dir got 23 mm.
• Parachinar got 5 mm.
• Punjab
• Jhang got 38 mm.
• Sialkot got 34 mm.
• Murree got 29 mm.
• South Punjab
• Multan got 19 mm.
• Sindh
• Larkana got 26 mm.
• Hyderabad got 22 mm.
• Balochistan
• Sibbi got 22 mm.
• Lasbella got 5 mm.
• Kashmir
• Muzaffarabad got 6 mm.

Date of issue – September 5

Heavy rains to continue till week – Threat of Local flooding 

Interaction between western and eastern winds!

Interaction between UAC and Low!

Well-marked low pressure area is over Madya Pradesh and adjoining area, it would move westwards/WNW. Upper air cyclonic circulation over Gujarat northern Arabian sea and adjoining Gujarat and Sindh persists, there is a slight possibility that it may intensify on September 6. Western disturbance ’20’is over the northern parts of the country. Monsoon may start to withdraw during the third week of September.

More thunder/lightning with rainfall with chances (65% ) scattered  heavy downpour expected in the northern areas as the tenth spell would continue. Seventh spell has hit south Punjab as well, more thunder/lightning with rainfall with some chances of isolated heavy rainfall expected in the cities of South Punjab till this week. More chances of rainfall with thunder/lightning at times isolated (55% – increased) heavy rainfall expected in Sindh including Karachi till this week. Following is the rainfall that occurred in some cities;

• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Balakot got 151 mm.
• Kashmir
• Muzaffarabad got 38 mm.
• Punjab
• Murre got 42 mm.
• Lahore got 15 mm.
• Sindh
• Thatta got 77 mm.
• Karachi got 41 mm.

Date of issue – September 4

Tenth spell continues in North!

Sixth monsoon spell hits Sindh – Seventh hits south Punjab as forecasted by PWP

Heavy downpour is likely to cause local flooding in Punjab and Sindh!

Yesterday’s low pressure area has further intensified into a well-marked low pressure area over Chhattisgarh, it would move westwards/WNW. Upper air cyclonic circulation over Gujarat northern Arabian sea and adjoining Gujarat and Sindh persists, there is a slight possibility that it may intensify. Western trough ’20’ has approached the northern parts of the country. Monsoon may start to withdraw during the third week of September.

More thunder/lightning with rainfall with chances (65% – increased) scattered  heavy downpour expected in the northern areas as the tenth spell would continue. Seventh spell has hit south Punjab as well, more thunder/lightning with rainfall with some chances of isolated heavy rainfall expected in the cities of South Punjab till this week.

The sixth spell has hit Sindh as forecasted by PWP as strong cloud activity was observed with showers in some cities including Karachi, more chances of rainfall with thunder/lightning at times isolated (45% – increased) heavy rainfall expected in Sindh including Karachi till this week. Following is the rainfall that occurred in some cities;

• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• D.I.Khan got 65 mm.
• Peshawar got 8 mm.
• Punjab
• Bhakkar got 56 mm.
• Murree got 38 mm.
• Lahore got 18 mm.
• South Punjab
• Bahawalnagar got 26 mm.
• Sindh
• Mithi got 18 mm.

Date of issue – September 3

Western and Eastern Interaction over northern parts!

Heavy downpour expected in Sindh

Upper air cyclonic circulation over Gujarat northern Arabian sea and adjoining Gujarat and Sindh. Fresh Low pressure has formed in the Bay of Bengal and adjoining central-eastern coast, it would move westward Western trough ’20’ has approached the northern parts of the country. Monsoon may start from withdraw during the third week of September.

The tenth spell would cause rainfall with thunder/lightning and strong winds (45%) chance of scattered heavy downpour over north-western parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and adjoining northern Punjab, strong thunderclouds could form there that has the potential to drop more than 100 mm there due to the interaction of western and eastern winds. The tenth spell would continue till early second week of September. The seventh spell in central areas would start from September 3 night/September 4 that is south Punjab. The seventh spell in south Punjab would cause rainfall with thunder/lightning. Hence PWP maintains the chance of seventh spell to ‘extremely high.’

The sixth spell has the potential to cause (25% chance) heavy downpour in Sindh including Karachi especially south-eastern parts. There is a slight possibility that rainfall exceeding 100 mm would fall in northern Arabian sea. The monsoon activity would start from September 4/September 5 in eastern parts of Sindh and would spread towards western parts, on September 2 and September 3 night, light showers could occur in south-eastern Sindh and after that gradual increase.  Hence PWP maintains the chance of sixth spell to ‘extremely high.’ Following is the rainfall that occurred in some cities;

• Islamabad got 167 mm.
• Punjab
• Rawalpindi got 68 mm.
• M.B.Din got 46 mm.
• Malamjabba got 39 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Peshawar got 26 mm.
• Chirat got 16 mm.

Date of issue – September 2

Western and Eastern Interaction over northern parts!

Heavy downpour expected in Sindh

The tenth spell has started in the northern areas as forecasted by PWP

Yesterday’s UAC over Gujarat and adjoining Sindh has moved into Arabian sea and adjoining Gujarat and Sindh. Fresh Low pressure would form in the Bay of Bengal during the coming week. Western trough ’20’ has approached the northern parts of the country. Monsoon may start from withdraw during the third week of September.

Moderate rainfall has occurred over scattered parts of the northern areas including Punjab and Kashmir hence the rainy activity has picked speed in the northern parts on September 2 as forecasted by PWP, the tenth spell would cause rainfall with thunder/lightning and strong winds (45%) chance of isolated heavy downpour over north-western parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and adjoining northern Punjab, strong thunderclouds could form there that has the potential to drop more than 100 mm there due to the interaction of western and eastern winds. The tenth spell would continue till early second week of September. The seventh spell in central areas would start from September 3/September 4 that is south Punjab. The seventh spell in south Punjab would cause rainfall with thunder/lightning till first week of September to early second week of September. Hence PWP upgrades the chance of seventh spell to ‘extremely high.’

During the mid/late coming week of September, a low pressure could be near Sindh, Gujarat and adjoining Arabian sea. The sixth spell has the potential to cause (25% chance) heavy downpour in Sindh including Karachi especially south-eastern parts. There is a slight possibility that rainfall exceeding 100 mm would fall in northern Arabian sea. The monsoon activity would start from September 4/September 5 in eastern parts of Sindh and would spread towards western parts, on September 2 and September 3, light showers could occur in south-eastern Sindh and after that gradual increase.  Hence PWP upgrades the chance of sixth spell to ‘extremely high.’ Following is the rainfall that occurred in some cities;

• Islamabad got 18 mm.
• Kashmir
• Kotli got 33 mm.
• Punjab
• Rawalpindi got 22 mm.
• Lahore got 1 mm.
• Sindh
• Sukkur got 1 mm.

Date of issue – September 1

Low pressure over west Madya Pradesh and adjoining east Rajasthan has rapidly weakened into an upper air cyclonic circulation. Yesterday’s UAC is now over Gujarat and adjoining Rajasthan and Sindh, it has weakened. Fresh Low pressure would form in the Bay of Bengal during the coming week.

PWP maintains the tenth spell in northern areas to ‘extremely high’ on September 2/September 3. PWP upgrades the seventh and sixth spell in south Punjab and Sindh respectively to ‘very high’. Showers with thunder/lightning could occur in northern areas while drizzle could occur in south-eastern Sindh. Following is the amount of rainfall that occurred in some cities;

• Punjab
• Chakwal got 16 mm.
• Balochistan
• Barkhan got 4 mm.
• Sindh
• Mithi got 20 mm.