Karachi awaits monsoon
Heat wave relaxes again!
36 people dead – Deaths occurred till July 6!
Background
Upper parts of Pakistan, mostly Punjab and eastern Khyber are being continue to witness enhanced monsoon rainfall due to the interaction between western trough and monsoon current. Heavy rainfalls have occurred in Lahore, Islamabad, Faisalabad and other Upper parts of Pakistan since June 25, after a brief dry and hot period, second spell has once again started in those same areas. The heat conditions have relaxed down due to monsoon winds and cloudy cover.
Temperatures till July 15 – Outlook!
Heat wave has decreased in many parts of Pakistan especially the hot spots like upper Sindh due to the monsoon activity in Punjab, Kashmir and Khyber. Temperatures will remain comfortable for the people of upper Sindh as they have experienced temperatures till 50°C. Following is the expected temperature in Sindh;
- 41 °C to 43 °C in Sukkur.
- 41 °C to 43 °C also in Larkana.
- 40 °C to 42 °C in Nawabshah.
- 37 °C to 40 °C in Hyderabad.
- 32 °C to 34 °C in Karachi.
- 34 °C to 39 °C in Lahore.
- 33 °C to 38 °C in Islamabad.
- 38 °C to 41°C in Multan.
- 41 °C to 45°C in Faisalabad.
- 37 °C to 41 °C in Peshawar.
Weather-related incident!
36 people have died since June 25 in Pakistan till July 6 due to weather related incidents. The deaths occurred due to heat waves, monsoon rainfall and river floodings. The death toll may rise as mature monsoon stage is yet to come to Pakistan. Pakistanis should take precautions during any severe weather event.
Monsoon update 2011 for Pakistan
Rain, rain and rain in Upper Pakistan!
Third spell in Pakistan?
Low might form in Bay!
At least 4 monsoon weather system formed;
- A depression ARB 01 formed during early June, that caused no rainfall in Pakistani territory.
- A deep depression BOB 02 formed in the Bay of Bengal during mid-June that brought monsoon currents to Punjab. It created the first monsoon spell of 2011.
- A low pressure formed over Madya Pradesh that caused an isolated thunderstorms to form over North-eastern Punjab.
- A low pressure formed over Bay of Bengal, that brought second spell of monsoon to Punjab.
Second spell of monsoon in Punjab
Scattered light to moderate rainfall with isolated heavy rainfall likely in Islamabad and Punjab including Lahore, Faisalabad. While scattered light rainfall with isolated moderate rainfall in eastern Khyber including Peshawar. South Punjab, that is Multan city will also get rainfall. Western trough has also enhanced this activity over these areas. This spell will continue till 2 to 3 days, after that a break will follow and once again another third spell will occur in these same areas.
In Karachi, partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies likely till 2 to 3 days, drizzle may also occur during this period. Winds will be between 32 kph to 40 kph in Karachi. According to some models and numerical forecast, isolated monsoon rainfall may occur in Upper Sindh including Sukkur during 2 to 3 days, according to these models, monsoon may advance into upper parts of Sindh, after some break of monsoon it is expected that monsoon will eye Karachi and coastal Sindh, but that is just being expected as of now. However, it is yet to advance into south-eastern and coastal Sindh. Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) has forecasted in May that monsoon will hit Karachi around July 15 , decrease or increase in days can not be ruled out!
Whats next! – probably third spell?
People of Indian-subcontinent, that follow weather, have eye over Bay of Bengal once again. Another low pressure might form in the Bay of Bengal that would enhance the monsoon activity over Indian-sub continent. The low might form in 4 to 5 days, it might bring third monsoon spell to Upper parts of Pakistan. So keep your umberalla ready Punjab and Khyber!
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