Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon alert (July 15 – July 21)

  • Heat to grip Southern Pakistan!

  • No deaths occurred since July 6

  • Karachi’s long wait for monsoon continues

Background for upcoming weather

Precipitation till July 22 – Temperature till July 22

Upper and Northern parts of Pakistan are experiencing the third spell of current monsoon season which will continue till July 17 night. A western trough, which is interacting with monsoon moisture will enhance the activity over these areas. Humidity will remain high in all monsoon areas of Pakistan. Non-Monsoon regions that is Balochistan, FATA and western Khyber will remain dry. Some weak heat wave may occur in southern parts of Pakistan during the period.

Heat wave coming: Temperatures outlook

Sparrow drinking water

Temperatures have not changed and are not expected to change as compared to last update, except few southern parts that is Sindh, lower Balochistan and southern Punjab where it will increase. Following is the expected temperature in Sindh;

  • 45 °C to 47 °C in Sukkur.
  • 44 °C to 47 °C also in Larkana.
  • 42 °C to 44 °C in Nawabshah.
  • 39 °C to 43 °C in Hyderabad.
  • 32 °C to 34 °C in Karachi. (Not changed since last update)
Overall the temperatures in mostly upper Sindh will increase by 2°C to 3°C, due to cloudy and windy conditions in coastal Sindh, the temperatures will not rise in those areas.
Due to the rainy activity in Punjab and Khyber, all the cities of these provinces will remain cool, but once the third monsoon spell is over, temperatures will rise there too. Following is the temperature of some cities of Punjab and Khyber;
  • 41 °C to 45 °C in Lahore.
  • 35 °C to 40 °C in Islamabad.
  • 42 °C to 45°C in Multan.
  • 42 °C to 45°C in Faisalabad.
  • 37 °C to 41 °C in Peshawar. (Not changed since last update)
Overall once the third spell monsoon spell finishes in Upper Pakistan and cloudy activity decreases in lower Pakistan then temperatures will rise. However in coastal monsoon belt of Pakistan the temperatures will remain unchanged.
Heat wave and Precautions
People living in those areas where a mild heat wave is expected that is Upper Sindh, Southern Punjab and Balochistan. They should try to take precautions during the summer heat wave. Following people are mostly affected during a heat waves;
  1. Older people, especially those over 75 years old.
  2. People suffering from mental ill-health, those with dementia, and those who rely on help from other people to manage day-to-day activities.
  3. People who are bed-bound or have mobility problems.
  4. People taking certain types of medication.
  5. People with a serious chronic condition, particularly breathing or heart problems.
  6. People who already have a high temperature from an infection.
  7. People who use alcohol or illicit drugs.
  8. Babies and young children, especially under four years old.
  9. People who are physically active such as manual workers, or sportsmen and women.

Weather-related incident!

36 people have died since June 25 in Pakistan till July 15 due to weather related incidents. The deaths occurred due to heat waves, monsoon rainfall and river floodings. The death toll has not risen since July 6. Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) will keep tracking the death toll due to weather-related incident in Pakistan to show the people that how many citizens die during the monsoon season.

Monsoon 2011 update

  • Third monsoon spell in full swing in Pakistan!
  • Western trough and eastern currents interacting!

  • Karachiites eagerly waiting for first drop of rain!


Third monsoon spell in Upper Pakistan
Lahore during a dust storm and rainfall

Lots of thunder, winds, rainfall, black clouds and lightening, this is what Punjab, Khyber, Kashmir and few parts of Gilgit are experiencing since few days. The third monsoon spell will continue till July 17 with occasional gaps, the interaction between a western trough and monsoon currents from the Arabian sea is the main cause that would cause some heavy rainfall but no flooding-like situation likely at the moment, at least not from the third spell. After July 17, a break is expected all over Pakistan but few isolated thunderstorms can not be ruled out during that period. During the last week of July, a fourth spell of monsoon and a final monsoon rainfall of July is expected in these same areas.

“We want rain now!!”, Karachiites say
The patience of Karachiites have fizzled out and now they want their share of monsoon. After a long wait since the expected “Tropical storm ARB 01” in June, Karachiites have been waiting for rains since then, they might have to wait till at least few more days as no weather system is likely to approach the thirsty and crisis-hit city. But there is a little hope that once the fourth spell starts in Upper Pakistan, the first monsoon spell may start in coastal Sindh including Karachi, while second spell may start in Upper Sindh. So will Karachi get finally get rainfall?
Looking back, it must be noted that monsoon usually happens in Karachi after July 15 rarely it happens before July 15, here are the few monsoon dates in Karachi since 2004;
  • In 2004, monsoon started on October 2.
  • In 2005, monsoon started on September 12.
  • In 2006, monsoon started on July 26.
  • In 2007, monsoon started on June 21.
  • In 2008, monsoon started on July 28.
  • In 2009, monsoon started on July 17.
  • In 2010, monsoon started on June 6.
Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) had earlier forecasted that monsoon may hit Karachi around July 15 (+- in days) since nature had some other plans so monsoon is more likely to hit coastal Sindh during the last week of July, there are slim chances of it not hitting in July as some models continue to show no rainfall till July 31.

Poll of the week

Last week’s poll showed that 54% people believed that rainfall would occur from this low pressure that is over Madya Pradesh, while 45% showed that this low will not cause anything in Karachi. So Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wants to know from you that;
Announcement: You could follow PWP on twitter now for latest updates, breaking news, news alert and severe weather warning! 
Advertisement

180 replies to “Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon alert (July 15 – July 21)”

  1. Yeah from 24th of July there is a whole week of THUNDERSTORMS in Karachi =D

    This will come true INSHA ALLAH .

  3. Inshallah heavy rain will occur in Karachi in last week of july, karachi metro are you confirm that rain will occur in karachi in last week of july????

    1. Weather is never confirmed but the way models are showing things….its very likely that rains will start from Sunday mid-night till Monday night and decrease there after… though these same models keep changing as weather changes every 24 hours…

  5. Why aren’t you updating monsoon of Pakistan page ? :S
    I have been waiting all day.

    1. yes…. most rain is likely between July 24 and July 25..while decrease in rainfall activity expected in Karachi after Monday night…All these forecast are as per latest forecast could change slightly tomorrow…but monsoon will hit karachi during last week of July…

      1. KM, which last week of july are you talking abt, last of july will start on 25th.Only there is a few chances of rain of 25th july and from onwards till 31st july there is no rain forecast for karachi.

  8. FINALLY ! I’ve seen Karachi’s name with Islamabad,Khyber,Kashmir regarding monsoon rains =D

  11. clouds are coming in from east and there’s lightning too but now they’re retreating back from where they came lolx WTH

  12. apparently someone’s FAVORITE BBC WEATHER is not willing to show any rains on sunday … rofl …

    1. ultra violet radiations…. its over exposure of sunlight… means if you stay too long in the sun…on that day you will pretty sure get sunburned or worst , skin cancer but that happens in 11+

  14. @jakie
    hahahaha…
    but now bbc is showing rains, but the guy you talk about, still not sure that rain will start on 24 or 25 🙂

  16. sunday come quickly plzzzzzzzzz v r waiting 4 u sunday,babar bai is it cnfrm now that rains will on sunday???????

  18. bbc showing that lite rain on sunday n thundery rain on monday 😀 let’s see what happens

  22. salmazzz babar bhai

    1 hour before i heard a news on express tv that from tomorrow there will be raining in most of the areas of the country except for karachi they said that next ten days there are simply no chances of rains over karachi so babar bhai watss ur take on that plzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz repli as sun as posible

    1. walaikum assalam….they are wrong…do not follow any TV channel for anything…Pak media is just running after money…. follow any weather website for weather info…

  23. km u r 100% rite,these news channels are giving tensions.har waqt bakwas kartai rehtai hain,logon ko pagal kar diya hai in channels nai.

  26. Babar bai is it cnfrm now that rain on 24th and 25th july or still not?????because still no sings

Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this:
close-alt close collapse comment ellipsis expand gallery heart lock menu next pinned previous reply search share star