Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon alert (August 26 – September 2)

  • Pakistan under the grip of active monsoon

  • Kohat gets 240 mm rainfall in 24 hours!

  • 192 people dead in Pakistan since June 25

Background

Much of Pakistan has received rainfall with the upper parts being battered by scattered heavy falls that has led to flash flooding in the Kohistan region of Khyber province, overall monsoon has been active in Pakistan since August 25. Temperatures were normal due to frequent cloud-cover while in some areas it rised. The level of humidty was high across the monsoon belt of Pakistan.

Factors

Pakistan's precipitation and temperature

*Monsoon supply from Arabian sea likely to stay, however intensity will decrease and increase from time to time.

*Fresh western trough entered Pakistan on August 25 and is over India’s Kashmir  and adjoining Gilgit region.

*Temperatures are expected to remain in comfort zone while humidity will remain high due to frequent showers in some areas.

Weather incidents: Flash flooding in Kohistan!

Kohat city has received a total of 240 mm rainfall, that is the highest in 24 hours in the province during the current monsoon season. Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in the local rivers that have now killed at least 63 people. The death toll is now 192 since June 25, all these deaths were a result of heat waves, windstorms, flash flooding and heavy rainfall. As compared to other monsoon season, this year the death toll is less compared to 2007, 2009 and 2010. People are requested to take precautions during any type of extreme weather.

  • Fresh spells in Sindh

  • What is next for Karachi?

  • Eid’s moon will be visible!

Monsoon News of Pakistan

Monsoon rainfall have been below-normal is many areas excluding the upper parts of Pakistan where interaction between westerlies and easterlies led to enhance precipitation. Six monsoon spell have occurred in Upper Pakistan excluding the pre-monsoon spell. While four monsoon spells have occurred in Southern Pakistan with no pre-monsoon spell. Overall the monsoon was inactive in the month of July in southern parts of the country while it is expected to remain active till the end of August in Sindh. Following is the monsoon status in the country;

*Fresh that is the 5th monsoon spell is likely to start in Sindh during the start of coming week.

*Monsoon activity, 6th monsoon spell will continue in Khyber, North-east Punjab and Khyber with few gaps, new spell may also start in these areas.

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP)’s forecast

“Notice: This is the forecast from Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP), we are 85% confident with this prediction. There will be slight variations in our forecast as certain meteorological factors develop and fade as time passes by and these factors are too isolated to be noticed on numerical charts or models. According to various meteorological parameters this forecast has been made.”

  • Forecast for Sindh will be revised on August 31 if any new developments happens 
Pakistan Conditions: Outlook for August 30

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) had successfully predicted the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th monsoon spell in Sindh. PWP on August 26 predicts the fifth monsoon spell in south-eastern and coastal Sindh keeping certain meteorological parameters in mind. As of August 26, PWP forecasts;

” ‘High’ chances of monsoon hitting Sindh from start of the coming week.”

As of 7:00 pm PST August 26, Various models, numerical charts and other meteorological parameters observed by PWP indicate that

*The upper air cyclonic circulations over north-west Bay of Bengal would move westwards, meaning inland by August 26 late night or August 27 morning and may gain strength to become a low pressure in 1 to 2 days, before moving to southern-western states of India, bringing widespread rainfall to these states of India. It might than lose intensity over Gujarat-Maharashtra. It will enter by maintaining its intensity in south-eastern Sindh on August 30 or August 31 according to GFS. The exact date however varies from model to model.

*Monsoon winds from upper parts of Pakistan will again shift to southern parts after 1 to 2 days, increasing moist winds in Sindh.

Following is the weather forecast that is expected;

Islamabad

The 6th spell of monsoon will continue in the capital. Rainfall with moderate and chances of isolated heavy falls expected in 48 hours. Rain will be accompained by thunder and fast winds.

Mercury is expected in Islamabad;

  • 31°C to 34 °C in Islamabad.

Punjab

In Northern Punjab: Lahore, Faisalabad, Murree, Rawalpindi, Sargodha, Sialkot and other adjoining cities. The 6th spell of monsoon will continue in the capital. Rainfall with moderate and chances of isolated heavy falls expected in 48 hours. Rain will be accompained by thunder and fast winds.

Following is the temperature forecast for Northern Punjab;

  • 32 °C to 35 °C in Lahore.
  • 33°C to 48 °C in Faisalabad.
  • 28°C to 33°C in Murree.

In Southern Punjab: Bahawalpur, Multan, Rahim Yar Khan, D. G. Khan and other adjoining cities. Rainfall with moderate and chances of isolated heavy falls expected after 2 to 3 days. Rain will be accompained by thunder.

In Southern Punjab, temperatures will be higher than Northern Punjab;

  • 34 °C to 36 °C in Multan.
  • 34 °C to 38 °C in  Bahawalpur.

Sindh

In Upper Sindh: Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Kashmore, Nawabshah and other adjoining  cities. The fresh monsoon spell will begin from August 29 or August 30 and continue till 2 to 3 days. Rain will be accompanied by winds and thunder, it will be moderate in intensity with chances of isolated heavy falls mostly after August 29.

Temperatures remained stationary in many parts of upper Sindh while few highs were recorded in few cities.

  • 32 °C to 37 °C in Sukkur.
  • 34 °C to 38 °C also in Larkana.
  • 35 °C to 38 °C in Nawabshah.

In South-eastern Sindh: Mirpur khas, Umerkot, Tharparkar, Badin and Hyderabad. The 5th monsoon spell will begin from August 29 or August 30 till 2 to 3 days. Rain will be accompanied by fast winds and thunder, it will be mostly heavy in intensity with chances of isolated very heavy falls in some extreme eastern parts, bordering Gujarat especially Mirpur Khas district. There are chances of flooding in Mirpur Khas and Badin districts. 

Temperatures will also calm in south-eastern Sindh due to long spell of very heavy rainfall during last few days.

  • 32 °C to 33 °C in Hyderabad.

In coastal Sindh: Karachi, Thatta, Keti, Shah Bandar and other coastal localities. The 5th monsoon spell will begin from August 29 night/August 30 and continue 2 to 3 days, Rain will be accompanied by fast winds and thunder, it will be moderate in intensity with chances of isolated heavy falls in Karachi while chances of scattered heavy rainfall in Keti Bandar and Thatta.

Due to frequent cloud over and fast winds the mercury in Karachi and other coastal cities has remained unchanged since July 1;

  • 31 °C to 34°C in Karachi.

The moon of Eid-ul-Fitr

Notice: “Due to Eid-ul-Fitr, Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) will be partially closed from August 28 (Sunday) till September 4 (Sunday). Due to Eid holidays, PWP-FB and PWP-Twitter will also remain partially closed and normal activities will be resumed from September 4.”

The moon of Eid might be only visible in the province of Balochistan as the monsoon belt of Pakistan may have a partly cloudy/mostly cloudy weather with showers. Sindh might be under the influence of the 5th monsoon spell. The coastal parts of Balochistan especially Gwadar will have a clear sky thus the chances of viewing the moon is higher in the western parts of Pakistan.

Timing of PWP from August 28 till September 4 due to Eid

  • 1:00 pm to 1:30 pm

  • 7:30 pm to 8:30 pm

All the reader’s questions and their answers and updates will be posted during these timings, these timings is only valid till September 4 due to Eid holidays.

Poll of the week

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wants to know;

384 replies to “Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon alert (August 26 – September 2)”

  2. YA ALLAH THANK U SO MUCH!! It’s been such a long time since i’be seen such a heavy rain :’D n also thank u babar bhai for all of ur hard work!! :D

  9. Karachi Current Conditions :

    Temperature : 28C
    Conditions : Overcast/Thunderstorms.
    Pressure : 1001mb
    Humidity 89%
    Visibility : 2km
    Wind : 5km/h North-Northeast.

    …

  27. KM bro you said that Rain will start in Upper sindh from 29 August evening or night // but aj 30 august hah koi rain nai hah ? why ! ? han Heavy clouds hein surroundings mei but no rain ? km bro please tell me kab rain start hoga larkana mein ?

  31. No KM wth yar :s
    He said all the questions will be answered between 1:00-1:30PM and 7:30-8:30PM.

  36. yes….offcourse…. wind coming 4rm NE or N or NW… humidity 56% and wind at 28 km/h……………….. thts bad… is thr any weather specialist over here…..

  43. rain will continue with periods till sunday and at times heavy in karachi.another low area pressure is formed over northeast arabian sea.

  47. yaaar thats so unprofessional attitude….. he must have to show his presence at said time

  52. yaar look at imd animation t-storm will develop near karachi……..

    @tarim
    u meant to say k no rain today,… chances from tonight?

  55. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS PREDICTED IN SINDH/EAST BALOCHISTAN :

    A well marked monsoon low (strong weather system) lies over Indian Gujarat and adjoining areas of southeast Sindh. Under the influence of this strong weather system, widespread rain/thundershowers with isolated heavy falls expected in Sindh including Karachi and Eastern parts of Balochistan during next 4-5 days. Heavy to very heavy rain fall is expected at number of places in Sindh during next 36 hours.
    – PMD

  57. whoever is saying that PMD has upgraded karachi precipitation to 220 mm. please share the link.

    It doesnt look like raining at all. :(

  60. Widespread rain/thundershower with isolated heavy falls is expected in Sindh including Karachi during next 24 hrs.

    – PMD

  67. HELOO BROTHERS YEH Pe taiz barissh start hah larkana mei 2 bjy din se ruknei kaa.naam hee nai le rai YEH BARISH kahin rehmaat se zehmat naa banjai larkana walon ke liyeh yaaar

  76. i want to know about rains and system whch was moving towards khi…when rain is expected in khi

  83. TROPICAL MADNESS: Tropical storm Katia in Atlantic Ocean (to intensify) and Tropical storm Talas (to intensify), Tropical storm Nanmadol (dissipating).

    1. there are chances of rainfall all over Sindh till whole week but that does not mean that every minute or hour it will be raining, thunderstorms take time to form…

Comments are closed.

close-alt close collapse comment ellipsis expand gallery heart lock menu next pinned previous reply search share star