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Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon alert (August 26 – September 2)

  • Pakistan under the grip of active monsoon

  • Kohat gets 240 mm rainfall in 24 hours!

  • 192 people dead in Pakistan since June 25

Background

Much of Pakistan has received rainfall with the upper parts being battered by scattered heavy falls that has led to flash flooding in the Kohistan region of Khyber province, overall monsoon has been active in Pakistan since August 25. Temperatures were normal due to frequent cloud-cover while in some areas it rised. The level of humidty was high across the monsoon belt of Pakistan.

Factors

Pakistan's precipitation and temperature

*Monsoon supply from Arabian sea likely to stay, however intensity will decrease and increase from time to time.

*Fresh western trough entered Pakistan on August 25 and is over India’s Kashmir ย and adjoining Gilgit region.

*Temperatures are expected to remain in comfort zone while humidity will remain high due to frequent showers in some areas.

Weather incidents: Flash flooding in Kohistan!

Kohat city has received a total of 240 mm rainfall, that is the highest in 24 hours in the province during the current monsoon season. Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in the local rivers that have now killed at least 63 people. The death toll is now 192 since June 25, all these deaths were a result of heat waves, windstorms, flash flooding and heavy rainfall. As compared to other monsoon season, this year the death toll is less compared to 2007, 2009 and 2010. People are requested to take precautions during any type of extreme weather.

  • Fresh spells in Sindh

  • What is next for Karachi?

  • Eid’s moon will be visible!

Monsoon News of Pakistan

Monsoon rainfall have been below-normal is many areas excluding the upper parts of Pakistan where interaction between westerlies and easterlies led to enhance precipitation. Six monsoon spell have occurred in Upper Pakistan excluding the pre-monsoon spell. While four monsoon spells have occurred in Southern Pakistan with no pre-monsoon spell. Overall the monsoon was inactive in the month of July in southern parts of the country while it is expected to remain active till the end of August in Sindh. Following is the monsoon status in the country;

*Fresh that is the 5th monsoon spell is likely to start in Sindh during the start of coming week.

*Monsoon activity, 6th monsoon spell will continue in Khyber, North-east Punjab and Khyber with few gaps, new spell may also start in these areas.

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP)’sย forecast

Notice:ย This is the forecast fromย Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP), we are 85% confident with this prediction.ย There will be slight variations in our forecast as certain meteorological factors develop and fade as time passes by and these factors are too isolated to be noticed on numerical charts or models. According to various meteorological parameters this forecast has been made.”

  • Forecast for Sindh will be revised on August 31 if any new developments happensย 
Pakistan Conditions: Outlook for August 30

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP)ย had successfully predicted the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th monsoon spell in Sindh. PWPย on August 26 predicts the fifth monsoon spell in south-eastern and coastal Sindh keeping certain meteorological parameters in mind. As of August 26, PWP forecasts;

” ‘High’ chances of monsoon hitting Sindh from start of the coming week.”

As of 7:00 pm PST August 26,ย Various models, numerical charts and other meteorological parameters observed by PWP indicate that

*The upper air cyclonic circulations over north-west Bay of Bengal would move westwards, meaning inland by August 26 late night or August 27 morning and may gain strength to become a low pressure in 1 to 2 days, before moving to southern-western states of India, bringing widespread rainfall to these states of India. It might than lose intensity over Gujarat-Maharashtra. It will enter by maintaining its intensity in south-eastern Sindh on August 30 or August 31 according toย GFS. The exact date however varies from model to model.

*Monsoon winds from upper parts of Pakistan will again shift to southern parts after 1 to 2 days, increasing moist winds in Sindh.

Following is the weather forecast that is expected;

Islamabad

The 6th spell of monsoon will continue in the capital. Rainfall with moderate and chances of isolated heavy falls expected in 48 hours. Rain will be accompained by thunder and fast winds.

Mercury is expected in Islamabad;

  • 31ยฐC to 34 ยฐC in Islamabad.

Punjab

In Northern Punjab:ย Lahore, Faisalabad, Murree, Rawalpindi, Sargodha, Sialkot and other adjoining cities.ย The 6th spell of monsoon will continue in the capital. Rainfall with moderate and chances of isolated heavy falls expected in 48 hours. Rain will be accompained by thunder and fast winds.

Following is the temperature forecast for Northern Punjab;

  • 32 ยฐC to 35 ยฐC in Lahore.
  • 33ยฐC to 48 ยฐC in Faisalabad.
  • 28ยฐC to 33ยฐC in Murree.

In Southern Punjab:ย Bahawalpur,ย Multan,ย Rahim Yar Khan, D. G. Khan and other adjoining cities.ย Rainfall with moderate and chances of isolated heavy falls expected after 2 to 3 days. Rain will be accompained by thunder.

In Southern Punjab, temperatures will be higher than Northern Punjab;

  • 34 ยฐC to 36 ยฐC in Multan.
  • 34 ยฐC to 38 ยฐC inย ย Bahawalpur.

Sindh

In Upper Sindh:ย Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Kashmore, Nawabshah and other adjoining ย cities. The fresh monsoon spell will begin from August 29 or August 30 and continue till 2 to 3 days.ย Rain will be accompanied by winds and thunder, it will be moderate in intensity with chances of isolated heavy falls mostly after August 29.

Temperatures remained stationary in many parts of upper Sindh while few highs were recorded in few cities.

  • 32 ยฐC to 37 ยฐC in Sukkur.
  • 34 ยฐC to 38 ยฐC also in Larkana.
  • 35 ยฐC to 38 ยฐC in Nawabshah.

In South-eastern Sindh:ย Mirpur khas, Umerkot, Tharparkar, Badin and Hyderabad. The 5th monsoon spell will begin from August 29 or August 30 till 2 to 3 days.ย Rain will be accompanied by fast winds and thunder, it will be mostly heavy in intensity with chances of isolated very heavy falls in some extreme eastern parts, bordering Gujarat especially Mirpur Khas district. There are chances of flooding in Mirpur Khas and Badin districts.ย 

Temperatures will also calm in south-eastern Sindh due to long spell of very heavy rainfall during last few days.

  • 32 ยฐC to 33 ยฐC in Hyderabad.

In coastal Sindh:ย Karachi, Thatta, Keti, Shah Bandar and other coastal localities. The 5th monsoon spell will begin from August 29 night/August 30 and continue 2 to 3 days, Rain will be accompanied by fast winds and thunder, it will be moderate in intensity with chances of isolated heavy falls in Karachi while chances of scattered heavy rainfall in Keti Bandar and Thatta.

Due to frequent cloud over and fast winds the mercury in Karachi and other coastal cities has remained unchanged since July 1;

  • 31 ยฐC to 34ยฐC in Karachi.

The moon of Eid-ul-Fitr

Notice:Due to Eid-ul-Fitr, Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) will be partially closed from August 28 (Sunday) till September 4 (Sunday). Due to Eid holidays, PWP-FB and PWP-Twitter will also remain partially closed and normal activities will be resumed from September 4.”

The moon of Eid might be only visible in the province of Balochistan as the monsoon belt of Pakistan may have a partly cloudy/mostly cloudy weather with showers. Sindh might be under the influence of the 5th monsoon spell. The coastal parts of Balochistan especially Gwadar will have a clear sky thus the chances of viewing the moon is higher in the western parts of Pakistan.

Timing of PWP from August 28 till September 4 due to Eid

  • 1:00 pm to 1:30 pm

  • 7:30 pm to 8:30 pm

All the reader’s questions and their answers and updates will be posted during these timings, these timings is only valid till September 4 due to Eid holidays.

Poll of the week

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wants to know;


384 responses to “Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon alert (August 26 – September 2)”

  1. sam Avatar
    sam

    stupid clouds!!! :@ n the sun is still shining!!! :@

  2. sam Avatar
    sam

    YA ALLAH THANK U SO MUCH!! It’s been such a long time since i’be seen such a heavy rain :’D n also thank u babar bhai for all of ur hard work!! :D

    1. Karachi Metro Avatar

      Thank you Sam…

  3. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    What’s ahead ?

  4. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    The rain and winds st0pped and all i hear is thunder.

    1. Karachi Metro Avatar

      There are more chances of rainfall to come….

  5. sam Avatar
    sam

    more dark clouds coming from the north i guess it’s gonna rain all night :)

  6. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    Now I can see CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING from the EAST.

  7. Karachi Metro Avatar

    NOTICE: Power outages may occur in Karachi.

  8. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    That’s c0m0n =p

  9. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    Karachi Current Conditions :

    Temperature : 28C
    Conditions : Overcast/Thunderstorms.
    Pressure : 1001mb
    Humidity 89%
    Visibility : 2km
    Wind : 5km/h North-Northeast.

  10. umair Avatar
    umair

    no heavy rain has occured in my area north karachi only drizzle…

  11. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    no rain in my area yaaar…….. fb area

    1. Karachi Metro Avatar

      @Shabib and Umair – that is why it is called isolated heavy rainfall…

  12. umair Avatar
    umair

    very heavy rain in my area now……..

  13. sam Avatar
    sam

    rain has started in phase 8 again :)

  14. umair Avatar
    umair

    only for 1 minute…

  15. umair Avatar
    umair

    i think that heavy rain will come now…..

  16. sam Avatar
    sam

    awesome lightning going on in the east :)

  17. sam Avatar
    sam

    now it’s drizzling

  18. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    yaar plz update

  19. SAK Avatar

    Heavy rain started again.
    University Road.

  20. sam Avatar
    sam

    awesome lightning n thunder with moderate rain over here

  21. IMDAD HUSSAIN Avatar

    STILL LARKANA SKY IS CLOUDY MEANS OVERCASTE !! BUT STILL NO RAIN ! WHY BABAR BHAI ?

  22. rain lover Avatar

    the lighting was very beautifull :)

  23. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    yaar no activity in blog no update tooo

  24. umair Avatar
    umair

    very nice rain in my area,thanks to allah…..

  25. saad Avatar
    saad

    Yaar last night was amazing LIGHTING STORM i loved it mann !!!!!!!!!!

  26. IMDAD HUSSAIN Avatar

    KM bro you said that Rain will start in Upper sindh from 29 August evening or night // but aj 30 august hah koi rain nai hah ? why ! ? han Heavy clouds hein surroundings mei but no rain ? km bro please tell me kab rain start hoga larkana mein ?

  27. sam Avatar
    sam

    guys what’s with the toofani hawa? :/

  28. umair Avatar
    umair

    pakmet upgraded karachi’s precipitation to 220 mm.wow

  29. saad Avatar
    saad

    KM@
    Any chances of thunderstorm today in karachi????

  30. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    No KM wth yar :s
    He said all the questions will be answered between 1:00-1:30PM and 7:30-8:30PM.

  31. sam Avatar
    sam

    yar yeh toofani hawa q chal rahi hai? :/

  32. sam Avatar
    sam

    pakmet upgraded khi’s precip to 220 mm

  33. sam Avatar
    sam

    something big must be heading towards us :o

  34. A.K Avatar

    dont knw…

  35. A.K Avatar

    yes….offcourse…. wind coming 4rm NE or N or NW… humidity 56% and wind at 28 km/h……………….. thts bad… is thr any weather specialist over here…..

  36. A.K Avatar

    i see a large patch of light black clouds over NE direction…wow…

  37. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    loL i have been seeing them since m0rning.

  38. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    I don’t think it will rain t0morrow.
    Chances from tonight.

  39. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    I don’t think it will rain today.
    chances from tonight.

  40. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    w0w sam ! An image of 5:00 AM :x

  41. umair Avatar
    umair

    rain will continue with periods till sunday and at times heavy in karachi.another low area pressure is formed over northeast arabian sea.

  42. umair Avatar
    umair

    now heavy clouds are developing over sindh near karachi.

    1. frAgnAt1c Avatar
      frAgnAt1c

      Source ?

  43. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    @EVERYONE :

    BBC sh0wing that the low pressure in the ARB will move to Karachi.

  44. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    Babar bhai must be sh0pping =p

  45. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    yaaar thats so unprofessional attitude….. he must have to show his presence at said time

  46. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/41780.html
    wunderground.com showning 137 mm rain on sunday… pakmet also showing it……..yaaar ALLAH ham per rehmat bhej de…. bht zamane se nahin dekhe aise strong spell

  47. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    yaaar tarim… wht u said…. chance from tonight… no rainfall tomorrow….?

  48. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    No i meant to say today not tomorrow sorry.

  49. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    Some SERIOUS rainfall is expected on 3rd and 4th september.

  50. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    yaar look at imd animation t-storm will develop near karachi……..

    @tarim
    u meant to say k no rain today,… chances from tonight?

    1. frAgnAt1c Avatar
      frAgnAt1c

      Yes

  51. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    also good rain will lash INSHALLAH on thursady

  52. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    The Heavy clouds are far away from Karachi right now.

  53. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS PREDICTED IN SINDH/EAST BALOCHISTAN :

    A well marked monsoon low (strong weather system) lies over Indian Gujarat and adjoining areas of southeast Sindh. Under the influence of this strong weather system, widespread rain/thundershowers with isolated heavy falls expected in Sindh including Karachi and Eastern parts of Balochistan during next 4-5 days. Heavy to very heavy rain fall is expected at number of places in Sindh during next 36 hours.
    – PMD

  54. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    There is some serious developement Over Sindh right n0w.
    A well-marked Low

  55. Mujtaba Avatar

    whoever is saying that PMD has upgraded karachi precipitation to 220 mm. please share the link.

    It doesnt look like raining at all. :(

  56. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    @EVERYONE :

    Check out the PMD’s latest weather advisory.

  57. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    Widespread rain/thundershower with isolated heavy falls is expected in Sindh including Karachi during next 24 hrs.

    – PMD

  58. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    yaaar badal agayeee look east

  59. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    Really dark clouds coming from the EAST.

  60. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    yaar pakmet predicts 4 to 5 days rain yaaar…..ALLAH miyaan paaani de

  61. sam Avatar
    sam

    yaaaaayyyy dark clouds !!!!! :D what took them so long?

  62. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    yaaar i think it would take some time to rain in khi

  63. IMDAD HUSSAIN Avatar

    HELOO BROTHERS YEH Pe taiz barissh start hah larkana mei 2 bjy din se ruknei kaa.naam hee nai le rai YEH BARISH kahin rehmaat se zehmat naa banjai larkana walon ke liyeh yaaar

  64. IMDAD HUSSAIN Avatar

    KM BRO requested .plz tell us yeh barish larkana mei kitnei din tak jaari raheygi

  65. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    Chances of rain from tonight.

    1. shabibraza Avatar
      shabibraza

      source

  66. sam Avatar
    sam

    yaar baarish q nahi horahi :(

  67. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    yaar km ko bulao hum bhi to ate hen blog pe

  68. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    Source is my observation :P

    check this out :
    http://www.timeanddate.com/weather/pakistan/karachi/ext

  69. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    @KM :

    Yar Babar bhai where were you :/
    Latest updates for Karachi ?

    1. Karachi Metro Avatar

      internet problem…due to fast winds..
      forecast for Karachi is same…

  70. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    yaaar babar bhai what about pmd advisory well marked low what was that?

  71. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    plz update monsoon of Pakistan page.

  72. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    i want to know about rains and system whch was moving towards khi…when rain is expected in khi

  73. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    Very dark clouds c0ming from the EAST.

  74. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    With lightning.

  75. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    nai yaar mujhe to nahin dkhraha

  76. sam Avatar
    sam

    no “Very dark clouds c0ming from the EAST. With lightning.” over here :(

  77. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    heavy rain in hyderabad mirpurkhas and badin…. geo

  78. Karachi Metro Avatar

    TROPICAL MADNESS: Tropical storm Katia in Atlantic Ocean (to intensify) and Tropical storm Talas (to intensify), Tropical storm Nanmadol (dissipating).

  79. sam Avatar
    sam

    yaar babar bhai why isn’t it raining? :(

    1. Karachi Metro Avatar

      light rainfall in Gulistan-e-Jauhar..

  80. Karachi Metro Avatar

    Winds were mostly fast/strong today in Karachi with NW or NE direction..

  81. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    babar bhai we need karachi news

  82. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    hyderabad wghera main shru hogayin hain yaar… what about khi?

  83. sam Avatar
    sam

    BREAKING NEWS: SHAWWAL MOON SIGHTED IN KARACHI

  84. sam Avatar
    sam

    eid mubarak to all of you! :)

  85. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    eid mubarak

  86. Karachi Metro Avatar

    Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wishes all its readers “Eid Mubarak”

  87. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    what about rainfall in khi

    1. Karachi Metro Avatar

      there are chances of rainfall all over Sindh till whole week but that does not mean that every minute or hour it will be raining, thunderstorms take time to form…

  88. saad Avatar
    saad

    EID MUBARAK BAI LOOG EID MUBARAK TO YOU TO BABAR BHAI

    1. Karachi Metro Avatar

      Eid Mubarak to you too Saad…

  89. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    *Eid MubarAk To eVeryoNe fr0m The HearT of mY HearT :)*

  90. frAgnAt1c Avatar
    frAgnAt1c

    Still no rain :/

  91. umair Avatar
    umair

    eid mubarak everybody and babar bhai…

  92. sam Avatar
    sam

    WOHOO BAARISHHHH!!! :D

    1. umair Avatar
      umair

      phase 8 mai

      1. sam Avatar
        sam

        yes phase 8 mai :)

    2. shabibraza Avatar
      shabibraza

      WHERE BHAI?

  93. sam Avatar
    sam

    raining with toofani hawa

  94. umair Avatar
    umair

    heavy or light..no rain in my area today

  95. sam Avatar
    sam

    it’s moderate