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180% above normal rains in Sindh
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134 people lost their lives!!
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Fresh monsoon hitting South Pakistan
Review of last week’s weather
Very active monsoon season was seen during the last one week in Pakistan especially in Sindh province which has received much rainfall than any part of Pakistan this monsoon season. Upper parts of Pakistan mainly saw isolated to scattered rainfall activity. Temperatures remained low due to enhance monsoon activity while humidity remained high. Severe destruction has occurred in Sindh province due to 2nd and 5th monsoon spell.
Present conditions over Pakistan – (Only for September 9 to 10)
*Feeble western trough over Gilgit region, moving to Indian-held Kashmir.
*Low pressure over north-western Sindh and adjoining south-west Rajasthan.
*Low pressure at 998 mbar over Jharkhand, India.
Isolated to scattered thunder/rainfall may occur at few places of upper Pakistan in 48 hours, while the 5th monsoon spell has ended in Sindh, however there are chances of few isolated rain/showers in some upper and eastern parts of the province till 24 to 36 hours.
Monsoon News of Pakistan
Expected conditions over Pakistan in coming days
Monsoon is likely to continue till September 15 in Pakistan, beyond that the future of the monsoon is uncertain, however there are some indications that monsoon may continue till the end of the month at least in upper Pakistan. More over monsoon rainfall has been in Sindh at least 180% above than its normal, leaving the wettest areas of Punjab, Khyber and Kashmir far behind.
Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP)’s forecast
“Notice: This is the forecast from Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP), we are 60% confident with this prediction. There will be slight variations in our forecast as certain meteorological factors develop and fade as time passes by and these factors are too isolated to be noticed on numerical charts or models. According to various meteorological parameters this forecast has been made.”
- This Forecast was revised on September 10 (Sindh only), may be updated on September 11
As of 10:00 pm PST September 9, Various models, numerical charts and other meteorological parameters observed by PWP indicate that;
*The low pressure over north-west Jharkhand is very likely to move westwards, as said by PWP on September 5. This low pressure will reach central India (Madya Pradesh) on September 11 and send fresh monsoon moisture to south-eastern Sindh on September 10/11, this system may enter Sindh on September 12/13 as of September 10.
*This spell may resemble the 2nd monsoon spell, but as of September 10 it is likely to be slightly week and small in duration than the 5th spell.
Following is the weather forecast that is expected;
Islamabad
Thunder/Rainfall may occur in 24 to 48 hours in the capital after that the weather is expected to calm down a bit and from September 11/September 12, monsoon winds will shift to upper parts of Pakistan and then Thunder/rainfall is expected, it will be light to moderate intensity and continue till few days with few gaps .
Mercury is expected in Islamabad;
- 32 °C to 34 °C in Islamabad.
Punjab
In Northern Punjab: Lahore, Faisalabad, Murree, Rawalpindi, Sargodha, Sialkot and other adjoining cities. Rainfall with scattered moderate falls expected to continue till few days with few gaps, the monsoon flow from Sindh could reach north Punjab on September 12. Rain will be accompanied by thunder and fast winds.
Following is the temperature forecast for Northern Punjab;
- 32 °C to 35 °C in Lahore.
- 33°C to 38 °C in Faisalabad.
- 28°C to 33°C in Murree.
In Southern Punjab: Bahawalpur, Multan, Rahim Yar Khan, D. G. Khan and other adjoining cities. Rainfall will be moderate falls expected to continue till few days, the monsoon flow from Sindh could reach south Punjab on September 11 night. Rain will be accompanied by thunder and fast winds.
In Southern Punjab;
- 34 °C to 36 °C in Multan.
- 34 °C to 37 °C in Bahawalpur.
Sindh
In Upper Sindh: Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Kashmore, Nawabshah and other adjoining cities. The fresh monsoon winds will enter from September 11 and continue till 2 to 3 days, mainly till September 14. Rain will be accompanied by winds and thunder, it will be moderate in intensity with chances of isolated heavy falls.
Temperatures forecast for Upper Sindh.
- 33 °C to 37 °C in Sukkur.
- 34 °C to 38 °C also in Larkana.
- 35 °C to 37 °C in Nawabshah.
In South-eastern Sindh: Mirpur khas, Umerkot, Tharparkar, Badin and Hyderabad. The rainfall could occur from September 11 till September 13 during this period heavy rainfall may occur in Eastern Sindh and till September 14. Rain will be accompanied by fast winds and thunder, it will be mostly heavy in intensity with chances of scattered heavy falls in some eastern parts.
Temperatures will also calm in south-eastern Sindh due to long spell of very heavy rainfall during last few days.
- 32 °C to 33 °C in Hyderabad.
In coastal Sindh: Karachi, Thatta, Keti, Shah Bandar and other coastal localities. The 6th spell has reached some parts of Sindh on September 10. Rain will be accompanied by fast winds and thunder, it will be moderate in intensity in Karachi with chances of isolated heavy falls while chances of isolated to scattered heavy rainfall in Keti Bandar and Thatta. Chances of rainfall will persist will September 14, then a decrease is expected.
Due to frequent cloud over and fast winds the mercury in Karachi and other coastal cities has remained unchanged since July 1;
- 31 °C to 34°C in Karachi.
Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) 
311 responses to “Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon alert (September 9 – September 16)”
This system will also give no rainfall to Karachi for sure !
Yes, it seems that it is the result of someone very bad curse to karachi. Karachi weather is very hot and dry………………
this system will give good amount of rain in Karachi
inshaallah :)
INSHA’ALLAH !
Wind is WNW n0w !
BBC showing rain in Karachi for a week again.
I hope this comes true :(
http://www.pakmet.com.pk/rnd/gfs_files/precipitation.htm
WOW !
pak met upgrades karachi precipition forecastto 192.3
wow !!
wish it happens ………::::::::
Nahi hoga :(
http://www.jang.com.pk/jang/sep2011-daily/10-09-2011/u81327.htm
very worst news for karachi yaar
they have said k AB KHUSHK SAALI(DROUGHT) wale ilaqon main BHT BARISHEN HOA KARENGIN like thar mirour mithi…. desertss………
or karachi main KHUSHK SAALI hoa karegii….
ayinda saalon main mosam shadid hoga pak main
PAK MET
But Why? Yeh kaisay changing hai jis say sirf karachi mein barish nahi hogi aur baki sab jagah hogi?
Waisay bhe karachi mein kon si barish hoti thi. Ab jo hoti thi woh bhe nahi hogi. Really bad news!!
Karachi is cursed !
Don’t fool yourself people, there won’t be any rain in Karachi.
The strongest weather systems didn’t gave any meaningful rains to Karachi so don’t expect any rains from this system too.
@Rain lover :
Share the link plz !
@KM :
Have you changed the updates time to evening ? :S
WTH !!
Temperature : 34C.
Condition : Extremely Hot.
Humidity 59%.
Pressure : 1003mb
Wind : No wind.
Chance Of Rain : 80%
…
Dangerous CUMULONIMBUS clouds c0ming here from EAST.
First, they were in the t0wering dark CUMULUS stage, n0w they have intensified into CUMULONIMBUS clouds.
I think it’s g0nna rain hard.
*INSHA’ALLAH*
http://www.pakmet.com.pk/Subpage1/avn/HTML_Files/meteogram.asp?city=http://www.pakmet.com.pk/upload/avn/Files/karachi.jpg#end
it is the link tarim
enjoy it :D
Look at the clouds :D
INSHA’ALLAh it’s g0nna rain t0day.
where do you live tarim ???
Safurah !
OMG THUNDER :D
KM always disappears at the right time !
Dark nimbus clouds with THUNDER c0ming here.
Heavy rain at airport !
DARK CLOUDSSSSS!!! waisy jab defence tak phunchtay hai tou white clouds ban jatay hai :/
Han to yahi rule hota ha barish ka Pro !
White nai honge woh grey honge !
Rain to start in 5 minutes INSHA’ALLAH !
@KM :
Finally !
It’s about to rain i think :O
In 5 minutes.
it is already raining in some parts…
Moderate Rain started here :D
OMG ITNI TE BARISH 6 september wali se bhi TEZ :S
I got all wet in 2 sec I swear :D
don’t make me jealous :@
no rain here :@
It will start INSHA’ALLAH.
It always starts late in Defense :D
@KM :
Extremely HEAVY RAIN HERE :S
WOW !
very lite rain started here :@ tez kab hogi? :@
tofaaani bharish again
very dark clouds coming!! This was just the appetiezer the main course is coming!! :D i think :/
OMG yar the wind :S
It was very calm a minute ago then suddenly fast winds from NW :S
60 km/h i think :o
now at the end of monsoon season khi is getting some good rain….
OMG VERY HEAVY RAIN suddenly started :D
I was sitting in my terrace and suddenly so thick droplets started dr0pping and i got scared :D:D
OMG SO thick droplets :O
Very heavy rain started here n0w !
Someone twitted
“59 minutes still no weakness”
I think its gonna cross 75mm, wow Karachi :).
and i was right in predicting the rain :). Saturday afternoon it is.
@ KM
HOW MUCH RAIN HAS KARACHI RECEIVED AND WHAT’S AHEAD FOR KARACHI
PLEASE REPLY …..::::::::
till 3:35 pm, 40 mm rainfall was recorded in Sadder, expected to be much more than that… more chances of rainfall till Sept 13
yaar yaha tou baarish khatam hogai :S
heavy rain continued for only 2 minutes :(
yahan bhi sam :(
i think the thunderstorm has dissipated
in sadar it keep raining heavily at least for 15 min
http://www.pakmet.com.pk/latest%20news/Latest%20News.html
new advisory by PAK MET
plz km give ur comment on this
yaar kia abhi tak baarish ho rhi hai???
no its over but cumulonimbus clouds are coming from east i think it would be rain again
geo saying 92mm recorded at sadar :S
yaar i think it would be the heaviest rain of all this yeaar
yaar PWP Facebook par larai ho rhi hai :P
Salam babar bhai.
Babar bhai Mirpurkhas City k liye letest update kya hai???
Rawan Moonsoon kay doraan ab tak sooba Sindh m mamool se 180% ziyada Barishein record ki gain-is doraan Mithi me sub se ziyada 1170mm Barish record ki gai jab kay (MIRPURKHAS) me 676,Nawabshah me 570 our Chore me 571mm Barish record ki gain.
(PMD Report)
http://www.timeanddate.com/weather/pakistan/karachi/ext
You’ll hardly get any HEAVY RAIN prediction f0r Karachi on this site but look at the amount of rain on 13th of september they’re sh0wing.
OMG YAR :D
http://www.weathercity.com/pk/sd/karachi/
check out the amount of rain on 13th of september !
abay ye choro each site is showing thunderstorm right now
Well, it must be raining at the airport.
lighting here in east direction !!
what about rain this night?
Babar bhai ap ne pagr update kya hai na?pehly map pr Mirpurkhas m sirf heavy rain show thi ab haevy 2 very heavy rain show kar raha hai???
walaikum assalam, Yes the page has been updated keeping in mind the recent runs made by the model, which is showing heavy rains again in Sindh..
babar bhai what about khi?
its just moderate or heavy or very heavy….
pmd has said it will be heavy in karachi tooo…
plz tell me
In Karachi, its moderate with chance of isolated heavy fall till Sept 12 and then decrease..but one thing I will tell every one is that the spell that shows arrival of the monsoon and which determines the withdrawal of monsoon is usually erratic..so This article might be updated tomorrow..
ohhh and what about this night… any rain?:
chances of drizzle/showers…
@KM :
Most sites sh0wing 200mm+ rain in Karachi on tuesday 13th of september.
You’re saying that chances of isolated heavy falls in Karachi till 12th and then
decrease is expected but most sites sh0wing HEAVY RAIN from 13th, why ?
According to PWP, this forecast is based on GFS and keeping past weather records in mind, it will be hard for rain to cross the record of July in September, so you have to keep that thing in mind as well.. in the past too, these same websites, believe me have showed 400+ rainfall but that never comes fruitful.. so PWP will revise its forecast tomorrow but as of now these are the most likely things to happen..
@KM :
Is there a THUNDERSTORM approaching Karachi ?
a thunderstorm is present over Thatta coastal area that is moving to ARB..some of its parts are touching Karachi so under that influence showers could occur overnight..
@km
pakmet is saying that in the next 4 years there will be intensity in the weather of pakistan. Your comment ????
Studies are disputed, some say droughts other say floods, uptill now the weather has been like it used to be in British India, some years are harsh while other calm.. you get the point..
heavy moderate?
km
pakmet said that from this year the drought places like thar mithi and desert area of sindh will get more rainfall……. and karachi will face droughtt…….this change occur due to climate change of pakistan…. they said
whats ur opinion?
@ k.m, same question here.Pakmet always says that except karachi whole country will get heavy rainfalls. What does pakmet want?
Studies varies, according to some reports the monsoon pattern is changing which will result heavy rainfall across Sindh and even Balochistan, also the no. of cyclone will increase…It up to you which report you believe..
don’t worry guys this spell will be good for Karachi insha allah
because who predicted such a heavy rain today but it rains heavily. weather is a thing which can never be predicted 100% right.(it always change)
babar bai sb ki predictiin galt hui ha kal bht tez rain hui and aaj k lye kia forecast hai or suna ha tuesday ko bht tez rain k imkanat han is it rite
Well, its not my personal wishes… PWP observe the conditions and then forecasts..Yesterday’s rain was a sudden outburst…These things have happened not only in Karachi but also in other cities of the world…Take the example of Chennai where showers were forecasted but a sudden cloudburst resulted in 70 mm rainfall in 1 hour…
very heavy black clouds in my area with thunder.heavy started in some parts of my area
Location ?
maxa agaya kal to bhai…1 ghantay tk musladhaar barish hui hai yaha Saddar mai :)
yaar news channels r saying tht north nazimabad n north khi mai tez baarish ho rhi hai :S n the siy is clear over here!!!! :@
I THINK it might be raining light in ur area right now…
n0w it’s overcats sam !
Dark CUMULONIMBUS clouds in the west.
That’s why it’s raining there.
INSHA’ALLAH today we will se this year’s best rain.
n0w it’s overcats sam !
Dark CUMULONIMBUS clouds in the west.
That’s why it’s raining there.
INSHA’ALLAH today we will see this year’s best rain.
n0w it’s overcast sam !
Dark CUMULONIMBUS clouds in the west.
That’s why it’s raining there.
INSHA’ALLAH today we will see this year’s best rain.
3 messages at a time ? :p
@KM :
Clouds c0ming from NE here Bro !
Its NW, large grey cloud…
Rain to start in 5 min INSHA’ALLAH !
Yeah that’s the CUMULONIMbus cloud.
@KM :
The clouds are c0ming from EAST, NE and NW.
Really :o
no rain in my area
‘fb area blk 16
mazaa agaya bhot tez baarish hoi thi :)
ab dhoop wapis nikal gaye :@
No rain here.
The cloud was small that is why isolated heavy fall occurred in few parts…
The cloud was small that is why isolated heavy fall occurred in few parts…
no rain :(
yar mere yha ajeeeb huwa bhut phele grey clouds aye phr aik dam se wapas chle gai pta nai kya huwa bharish bhi nai huwi
@KM :
The Rajasthan THUNDERSTORM is very strong isn’t it ?
Are there chances of that T-storm to m0ve t0wards Karachi ?
it has showed some signs of weakening…
so chances of rain tonight in khi
?
km?
overall the chances are from Today till September 14 morning…however there is no cloud formation that could affect Karachi at the moment..
i m not asking about this moment i m asking about night late night etc
and u tell that very small thunderstorm formed upper sindh….. where do they form and would or can they effect karachi?
Showers/light rainfall could occur tonight…
karachi metro why it is not raining in islamabad/rawalpindi whereas there is good rain ekse where what is your latest predication
Punjab and Khyber have remained in a “calm” monsoon for last few weeks, as long as there would be no western trough…I dont see any major rainfall in Up Pak…however there are chances of isolated thunder/rainfall in some parts of Up Pakistan due to moisture from ARB and Lower Pak…
@AHsan :
You people got your share of monsoon LoL !
HHAHAHAHA :D
No chance of rain till tomorrow mid-day.
The T-storm has entered Sindh.
It’s still strong i think.
from which system rain come today in karachi??
a local thunderstorm that was forming since morning…due to moisture from ex-low and Indian Low……..
yesterday my area north karachi got only 3 mm of rain and on monday it was also 4mm but today north karachi recived good rain for some time.
PMD forecast= More Heavy to Very Heavy Monsoon Rains Predicted in Sindh ( especially lower Sindh) from Sunday evening to Wednesday.