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Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon alert (September 9 – September 16)

  • 180% above normal rains in Sindh

  • 134 people lost their lives!!

  • Fresh monsoon hitting South Pakistan

Review of last week’s weather

Very active monsoon season was seen during the last one week in Pakistan especially in Sindh province which has received much rainfall than any part of Pakistan this monsoon season. Upper parts of Pakistan mainly saw isolated to scattered rainfall activity. Temperatures remained low due to enhance monsoon activity while humidity remained high. Severe destruction has occurred in Sindh province due to 2nd and 5th monsoon spell.

Present conditions over Pakistan –ย (Only for September 9 to 10)

Precipitation and Temperature: Sept 9 – Sept 16

*Feeble western trough over Gilgit region, moving to Indian-held Kashmir.

*Low pressure over north-western Sindh and adjoining south-west Rajasthan.

*Low pressure at 998 mbar over Jharkhand, India.

Isolated to scattered thunder/rainfall may occur at few places of upper Pakistan in 48 hours, while the 5th monsoon spell has ended in Sindh, however there are chances of few isolated rain/showers in some upper and eastern parts of the province till 24 to 36 hours.

Monsoon News of Pakistan

Expected conditions over Pakistan in coming days

Monsoon is likely to continue till September 15 in Pakistan, beyond that the future of the monsoon is uncertain, however there are some indications that monsoon may continue till the end of the month at least in upper Pakistan. More over monsoon rainfall has been in Sindh at least 180% above than its normal, leaving the wettest areas of Punjab, Khyber and Kashmir far behind.

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP)’sย forecast

Notice:ย This is the forecast fromย Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP), we are 60% confident with this prediction.ย There will be slight variations in our forecast as certain meteorological factors develop and fade as time passes by and these factors are too isolated to be noticed on numerical charts or models. According to various meteorological parameters this forecast has been made.”

  • This Forecast was revised on September 10 (Sindh only), may be updated on September 11
Pakistan Conditions: Outlook for September 12

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP)ย successesย fully predicted the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th monsoon spell inย Sindh. PWP on September 5 in its Monsoon of Pakistan page, forecasted about the possible 6th monsoon spell hitting Sindh. On September 9, PWP upgrades that forecast to “extremely high”ย for the 6th monsoon spell. This spell hit some parts of Sindh on September 10, other parts will be hit by September 11.

As of 10:00 pm PST September 9,ย Various models, numerical charts and other meteorological parameters observed by PWP indicate that;

*The low pressure over north-west Jharkhand is very likely to move westwards, as said by PWP on September 5. This low pressure will reach central India (Madya Pradesh) on September 11 and send fresh monsoon moisture to south-eastern Sindh on September 10/11, this system may enter Sindh on September 12/13 as of September 10.

*This spell may resemble the 2nd monsoon spell, but as of September 10 it is likely to be slightly week and small in duration than the 5th spell.

Following is the weather forecast that is expected;

Islamabad

Thunder/Rainfall may occur in 24 to 48 hours in the capital after that the weather is expected to calm down a bit and from September 11/September 12, monsoon winds will shift to upper parts of Pakistan and then Thunder/rainfall is expected, it will be light to moderate intensity and continue till few days with few gaps .

Mercury is expected in Islamabad;

  • 32 ยฐC to 34 ยฐC in Islamabad.

Punjab

In Northern Punjab:ย Lahore, Faisalabad, Murree, Rawalpindi, Sargodha, Sialkot and other adjoining cities. Rainfall with scattered moderate falls expected to continue till few days with few gaps, the monsoon flow from Sindh could reach north Punjab on September 12. Rain will be accompanied by thunder and fast winds.

Following is the temperature forecast for Northern Punjab;

  • 32 ยฐC to 35 ยฐC in Lahore.
  • 33ยฐC to 38 ยฐC in Faisalabad.
  • 28ยฐC to 33ยฐC in Murree.

In Southern Punjab:ย Bahawalpur,ย Multan,ย Rahim Yar Khan, D. G. Khan and other adjoining cities.ย Rainfall will be ย moderate falls expected to continue till few days, the monsoon flow from Sindh could reach south Punjab on September 11 night. Rain will be accompanied by thunder and fast winds.

In Southern Punjab;

  • 34 ยฐC to 36 ยฐC in Multan.
  • 34 ยฐC to 37 ยฐC inย ย Bahawalpur.

Sindh

In Upper Sindh:ย Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Kashmore, Nawabshah and other adjoining ย cities. The fresh monsoon winds will enter from September 11 and continue till 2 to 3 days, mainly till September 14.ย Rain will be accompanied by winds and thunder, it will be moderate in intensity with chances of isolated heavy falls.

Temperatures forecast for Upper Sindh.

  • 33 ยฐC to 37 ยฐC in Sukkur.
  • 34 ยฐC to 38 ยฐC also in Larkana.
  • 35 ยฐC to 37 ยฐC in Nawabshah.

In South-eastern Sindh:ย Mirpur khas, Umerkot, Tharparkar, Badin and Hyderabad. The rainfall could occur from September 11 till September 13 during this period heavy rainfall may occur in Eastern Sindh and till September 14.ย Rain will be accompanied by fast winds and thunder, it will be mostly heavy in intensity with chances of scattered heavy falls in some eastern parts.

Temperatures will also calm in south-eastern Sindh due to long spell of very heavy rainfall during last few days.

  • 32 ยฐC to 33 ยฐC in Hyderabad.

In coastal Sindh:ย Karachi, Thatta, Keti, Shah Bandar and other coastal localities. The 6th spell has reached some parts of Sindh on September 10. Rain will be accompanied by fast winds and thunder, it will be moderate in intensity in Karachi with chances of isolated heavy falls while chances of isolated to scattered heavy rainfall in Keti Bandar and Thatta. Chances of rainfall will persist will September 14, then a decrease is expected.

Due to frequent cloud over and fast winds the mercury in Karachi and other coastal cities has remained unchanged since July 1;

  • 31 ยฐC to 34ยฐC in Karachi.
This monsoon activity will continue till September 14 with peak intensity, after that the intensity will decrease. Monsoon may start to withdraw from some parts of the country.

Weather death-toll rises sharply due to rainfall in Sindh

At least 347 people have died in Pakistan since June 25 due to heavy rainfall, wind storm, heat waves, floods and other weather-related incidents. 134 people died in Sindh during the 11-day stormy rainfall in Sindh.

Poll of the week

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wants to know;

311 responses to “Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon alert (September 9 – September 16)”

  1. saad Avatar
    saad

    any rain today ???????????????????????????????????????????

  2. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    Updates ?!

  3. Ali Avatar
    Ali

    Hows the weather? Look for the clouds from NE ;)

  4. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    no rain yaar

  5. rain lover Avatar

    no updates
    is it raining any where else in sindh??

    1. Karachi Metro Avatar

      @EVERY BODY –
      Monsoon updates and Daily updates will stay till 9:00 pm, however if there is any major development then they will be updated from time to time..

  6. kafeel Avatar
    kafeel

    What are updates 4 khi?

  7. umair Avatar
    umair

    dark clouds are coming with light thunder in north karachi.

  8. umair Avatar
    umair

    dark clouds k sath mera inter ka result bi agata

  9. sam Avatar
    sam

    baarish hogi just wait for a while

  10. shoaib Avatar
    shoaib

    From half an hour or an hour very heavy rains in hyderabad, tando and interior sindh

  11. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    HEAVY thunder !

    I can hear it clearly !

  12. umair Avatar
    umair

    drizzle starts.but dont care it.i have other tension at the moment

  13. shoaib Avatar
    shoaib

    is it raining anywhere in KHI?

  14. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    Heavy clouds c0ming from EAST.

  15. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    BIG and STRONG THUNDERSTORM coming towards Karachi.

    1. saad Avatar
      saad

      can you c the thunderstorm coming ?????????

  16. saad Avatar
    saad

    yea in saddar bt drizzlin

  17. umair Avatar
    umair

    light drizzle here very dark clouds are coming

  18. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    Incredible GUST FRONT c0ming towards us !

  19. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    That dark cloud is the rain shaft !

  20. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    It does not rain but it brings rain !

  21. saad Avatar
    saad

    OMG!!!!!!! tarim can you see the speed at which this system is coming

  22. Ali Avatar
    Ali

    Guys, please update us as soon as the rain start. Whether heavy or moderate…I’ll appreciate your timely updates.

  23. saad Avatar
    saad

    no rain bt thunder is hea

  24. saad Avatar
    saad

    drizzlin startd

  25. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    Moderate rain here !

    1. saad Avatar
      saad

      YEAH !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  26. Ali Avatar
    Ali

    http://twitter.com/#!/search/karachi%20rain.

    twitter is getting mad again with Karachi rain :) and thanks for the updates.

  27. saad Avatar
    saad

    moderate rain hear too

  28. saad Avatar
    saad

    heavy rain startd

  29. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    No heavy rain here.

    :(:(:(

  30. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    Light rain now and the clouds are going !

  31. umair Avatar
    umair

    good rain for 20 minutes here.

  32. sam Avatar
    sam

    boring rain! No dark clouds n no heavy rain :/ i can only hear thunder

  33. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    kia bana?

  34. sam Avatar
    sam

    n the news r saying bhot tez baarish ho rhi hai :@

  35. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    no hevy rain

  36. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    Rain is not even moderate now !
    Boring weather.

  37. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    It’s barely light now lol.

  38. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    I don’t get. WTF yar kya masla ha :s
    The T-storm is very big and strong but still isolated rain. :S

  39. sam Avatar
    sam

    yaar babar bhai system itna bara hai magr 2 mins ki drizzle q de? Plus the thunder is very loud!! 0.0

  40. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    HAHA =p

    Look at the size of this storm but still no rain.

  41. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    @KM :

    WTH is this ???????

    Why no rain here ????

    It’s a very big T-storm but still no rain ?

  42. SAK Avatar

    each and every part of Karachi is Receiving moderate to heavy falls..
    Currently at airport side Heavy Falls lasted for 15 mins and now again Moderate rain…. :)

  43. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    n0thing here not even moderate !

  44. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    FINALLY :D

    Heavy RAin :D

  45. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    no heavy rain

  46. sam Avatar
    sam

    something is heading towards phanse 8 becuz whn i go to rooftop n look towards north it’s only a blur 0.0

  47. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    andheraaaaaaaaaaaaa

  48. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    tarim is there is heavy rain in ur area?
    no heavy rain in my area…………fb area blk 16 but ghup andhera

  49. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    That heavy rain lasted for only a minute.

  50. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    No heavy clouds, no lightning, no thunder and no heavy rain.

  51. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    Still light rain.

  52. sam Avatar
    sam

    it’s been raining here since 5pm

  53. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    But only light rain.

  54. Mujtaba Avatar
    Mujtaba

    what the heck :@:@::@ BBC Still showing light rain for tommorow :(:(… kya bakwaas hai yaaaar

  55. Mujtaba Avatar
    Mujtaba

    accuweather is showing chances of flooding in karachi for tomorrow and BBC showing just light rain :(…. Yahoo weather is also saying 1-2 inches of rain that mean around 50 mm… KM whats ur view on that? BBC zyada accurate hai ya other websites???

    1. arbab ( i love rainss) Avatar
      arbab ( i love rainss)

      bbc map is accurate nd u shld chk the bbc map itsss showing heavy to extremely heavy rainfall on tuesday :P

  56. wasi Avatar
    wasi

    plz sb bhai Mirpurkhas k liye khas Dua karien k ALLAH pak barish band kar day aj phir Mirpurkhas m very heavy Rain ho rahi hai plz hum doobny waly hein dua karien…

  57. sam Avatar
    sam

    yar mujhay abhi tak samajh nhi aya k sindh ko bhot heavy rains mil rhi hai magr khi ko kuch bhi nhi milraha q yaaaaar???? :(

  58. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    Karachi is cursed.

  59. Mujtaba Avatar
    Mujtaba

    wohi light rain for last one and a half hour….kya yaar…is light rain se to irritation hone lagti hai….ya to khul ke barsoo ya bas cloudy raho ……

  60. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    ALLAH karey yeh low pressure dissipate hojaye aur monsoon khatam hojaye Sindh me abhi isi wQt agar yahi light rain deni ha ALLAH ne.

  61. sam Avatar
    sam

    NOW light rain stopped

  62. sam Avatar
    sam

    waaaaoooooooooo that’s the first time i’ve seen heavy t-storm forecast for khi :/ magar nhi hoga :(

  63. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    no rain

  64. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    no babar bhai

  65. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    again started

  66. sam Avatar
    sam

    BABAR BHAI UR COMMENTS ON WEATHER.COM PREDICTION?????????

  67. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    babar bhai
    comment on weather.com heavy t-storm prediction….?

    and plz tell me about heavy rain in khi
    as in my area i dint see any heavy rain

  68. Karachi Metro Avatar

    Mujtaba
    All are good…at times..
    Tarim
    main center is not near Karachi yet…
    Sam and Shabib
    well, Weather.com is forecasting this on some evidence…Heavy downpour is expected in Sindh including Karachi tomorrow as the low main focus will be Sindh…but still….now its night…another change in weather conditions expected at 3:00 am..

  69. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    what change km?

    1. Karachi Metro Avatar

      every forecast changes 4 times a day…

  70. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    what percent chances of heavy rain in karachi? and what change u r expecting at 3 am?

  71. zulfi Avatar
    zulfi

    heavy and moderate rain in steel town,5pm sai musalsal barish ho rahi hai kabhi tez kabhi moderate laikin abhi tak yahan barish ruki nahi…

  72. Mujtaba Avatar
    Mujtaba

    any lightning in any area of karachi????

  73. rain lover Avatar

    old city areas me sham se rain start he lekin light rain

  74. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    Light rain just light rain :@
    There won’t be any heavy rain tomorrow :@

  75. rain lover Avatar

    tommorow it will rain very heavily insha allah

  76. sam Avatar
    sam

    yaar heavy t storm prediction for tomorrow bus dua karo k khi doob nhi jaye q k this is a very dangerous system

  77. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    Well, Let’s h0pe so.
    there will be extremely heavy rain in Karachi tomorrow INSHA ‘ ALLAH !

  78. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    kal INSHALLAH

  79. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    BHT HEAVY RAIN MASHALLAH SINCE LAST 45 MINTS

  80. zulfi Avatar
    zulfi

    now very heavy rain started in steel town….

  81. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    HEAVY RAIN FROM 1 HOUR mashallah

  82. Ali Avatar
    Ali

    Any idea, how much rain so far? My cousin in North Karachi is saying that it has been raining moderately since 5pm and gain momentum since last few hours.

    Anyone awake, at this hour. Tweets at twitter is also confirming that its been raining heavily for an hour or so. Any updates?

  83. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    ohhhh my GOD i have seen the heaviest rain of this year….. at fb area blk 16……. it wasss………………………………….. bht taizzzzz barish tiii….. pura taaalab bangaya……… thick dropletsss…. fast and furious…………

    now ended after 1 and a half hour….. and 20 to 25 minutes of heaviest rain

  84. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    again heavy rain since 15 mintz with very heavy at times

  85. sam Avatar
    sam

    aur mai aik bewakoof sogaya n miss the whole thing :@ i think :/ waisay moderate rain here n it looks as if it’s gettng heavier

  86. sam Avatar
    sam

    no heavy raim only lite to moderate here :/

  87. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    HEAVY RAIN here since 7:30 AM.

  88. sam Avatar
    sam

    news saying sabzi mandi mai flood agaya :/

  89. fragnat1c Avatar
    fragnat1c

    It’s g0nna gain momentum from 1PM INSHA ‘ ALLAH.

  90. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    heavy rain past half an hour…… subha fajr main utha tab bhi bht heavy rain ti…… 3 baje soya tab bhi bht heavy rain ti…… 14 hours since rain stopped….. and 8 hours of heavy rain since 12:15…. it must be 100 +

  91. sam Avatar
    sam

    non stop rain rite now it’s moderate thn it becomes lite thn it becomes moderate again thn it becomes heavy :/

  92. shabibraza Avatar
    shabibraza

    now very lite rain after 1 hour or above……PAK MET should show real figures for karachi now…… they are saying 45 mm….. 45 mm to raat ko 1 ghante main hogayee hogiii :D