Monsoon Daily Updates – For July 2012

This is actually a part of Monsoon of Pakistan page

Date of Publish – July 31

5th monsoon spell continues!

July ends with below normal rainfall across the country!

Three upper air cyclonic circulations persists over India; one over north-west (it is weakening), central and eastern India. PWP downgrades the third spell in Sindh for this week (July 31/August 1) to ‘very poor’. Satellite image indicate scattered clouds over the province. Following is the rainfall recorded from July 1 till July 31 in Islamabad, Lahore, Karachi and Hyderabad; Sargodha is the only city that has crossed the monthly average of 108 mm by getting 160. 2 mm rainfall in Punjab.

  • In the monsoon of 2012, Karachi received 1 mm rainfall till July 31.
  • In the monsoon of 2012, Islamabad got 192.1 mm rainfall till July 31. 
  • In the monsoon of 2012, Lahore got 80.3 mm rainfall till July 31.
  • In the monsoon of 2012, Hyderabad got 3 mm rainfall till July 31.

More thunder/lightening with rainfall is expected in these areas with chances of moderate falls till August 2 morning in the northern areas. However south Punjab and eastern parts of Sindh may witness passing clouds with chances of drizzle/isolated showers due to moisture incursion. Another monsoon spell is also likely in the many parts of the country during late this week in many parts of the country . Following was the monsoon rainfall that occurred in some cities;

  • Islamabad got 9 mm.
  • Punjab
  • Murree got 22 mm.
  • Sialkot got 15 mm.
  • Khyber Pakthunkhwa
  • Parachinar got 20 mm.
  • Kashmir
  • Kotli got 46 mm.
  • Muzaffarabad got 21 mm.

Date of Publish – July 30

5th monsoon spell starts in Northern areas 

Chance of 3rd spell in Sindh remains ‘moderate’

Another spell brewing as well?

Three upper air cyclonic circulations persists over India; one over north-west (it is weakening), central and eastern India. PWP maintains the chance of third monsoon spell hitting Sindh ‘moderate’ during the July 30 night/July 31.

The fifth monsoon spell that was forecasted by PWP on July 25 has started in the northern areas on time as isolated moderate rainfall has occurred in the area. More thunder/lightening with rainfall is expected in these areas with chances of moderate falls till August 2 morning. However south Punjab may witness passing clouds with chances of isolated showers as the monsoon spell will not affect it properly. There are slim chances of drizzle/isolated shower in south-eastern Sindh while drizzle in coastal parts either from tonight/July 31 in the form of the third spell, these chances would remain active till this week. Satellite images indicate that dissipating thunderclouds are over lower, south-eastern and adjoining Sindh. Upper and central parts of Sindh would witness partly/mostly cloudy weather depending upon the formation of thunderclouds. Another monsoon spell is also likely in the many parts of the country during late this week. Following was the monsoon rainfall that occurred in some cities;

  • Punjab
  • Sialkot got 34 mm.
  • Murree got 7 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Balakot got 6 mm.
  • Abbottabad got 2 mm.
  • Kashmir
  • Muzaffarabad.
  • Sindh
  • Karachi got T.R

Date of Publish – July 29

PWP upgrades the 5th spell to ‘extremely high’ in North Punjab – 3rd spell to moderate in Sindh

UAC over west, central and eastern India

Deep thunderstorms over western India, stretching into Arabian sea

Three upper air cyclonic circulations persists over India; one over north-west, central and eastern India. A wave of monsoon clouds continue to stretch from west-central India towards northern Arabian sea, East of Oman. PWP upgrades the chance of third monsoon spell hitting Sindh from  ‘poor’ to ‘moderate’ during the July 30 night/July 31. While PWP also upgrades the fifth monsoon spell hitting northern Punjab from ‘very high’ to ‘extremely’ from July 30.

Due formation of circulations over western India, there are slim chances of drizzle/isolated shower in south-eastern Sindh while drizzle in coastal parts either from July 29 night/July 30 in the form of the third spell, these chances would remain active till this week. Satellite images indicated that weak thunderclouds moved into eastern Sindh. Upper and central parts of Sindh would witness partly/mostly cloudy weather depending upon the formation of thunderclouds. Due to the same circulations, isolated shower may occur in south Punjab and few adjoining areas of north-east Punjab as satellite images indicate clouds moving towards eastern Pakistan. From July 30, there are chances of thunder/lightening with rainfall in parts of the northern Pakistan including Islamabad and Lahore in the form of fifth spell that was forecasted by PWP since July 25. Following was the monsoon rainfall that occurred in some cities;

  • Balochistan
  • Barkhan got 4 mm.
  • Sindh
  • Karachi got TR

Date of Publish – July 28

4th and 3rd spell ended!

PWP upgrades the 5th spell to high in North Punjab – 3rd spell to poor in Sindh

Circulations over western India another over eastern India

An upper air cyclonic circulations persists over Jharkhand, it is moving westwards. A wave of monsoon thunderclouds persists over western India stretching into the northern Arabian sea. PWP upgrades the chance of third monsoon spell hitting Sindh from ‘extremely poor’ to ‘very poor’ to ‘poor’ during the coming week. While PWP also upgrades the fifth monsoon spell hitting northern Punjab from ‘moderate’ to ‘high’ from July 30.

Due formation of circulations over western India, there are slim chances of drizzle/isolated shower in south-eastern Sindh while drizzle in coastal parts either from July 28 night/July 29 night in the form of the third spell, these chances would remain active till this week. Upper and central parts of Sindh would witness partly/mostly cloudy weather depending upon the formation of thunderclouds. Due to the same circulations, isolated shower may occur in south Punjab and few adjoining areas of north-east Punjab. From July 30, there are chances of thunder/lightening with rainfall in parts of the northern Pakistan including Islamabad and Lahore in the form of fifth spell that was forecasted by PWP since July 25. No significant rainfall occurred in the country.

Yesterday’s interaction between western and eastern winds in south Punjab resulted in a strong windstorm that collapsed the power system in Muzaffargarh.

Date of Publish – July 27

Western and eastern winds interacting over south Punjab!

4th and 3rd spell ending in north and central

5th spell in North Punjab ‘moderate’ – 3rd spell in Sindh ‘extremely poor’

An upper air cyclonic circulations has moved into Jharkhand. Western disturbance ’15’ weakens and moves in a NE direction hence the fourth spell weakens as well.

The fourth spell has lost much of its intensity in the northern area however isolated showers with fast winds could occur till 12 to 24 hours as thunderstorm formation has been taking place the area. While third spell also started on July 26 night as forecasted by PWP however it was extremely weak in intensity. Western and eastern moisture has been seen interacting over south Punjab during this afternoon and hence thunderclouds are forming therefore there are further chances of rainfall in south Punjab till 24 hours as third spell continues. There are chances of dusty winds in north-western parts of Sindh till 12 hours while passing clouds expected in coastal and south-eastern Sindh. Eastern winds from India are prevailing over coastal and south-eastern Sindh while western winds are moving through upper and central Sindh. Following is the monsoon rainfall that occurred in some cities of the country;

  • Balochistan
  • Sibbi got 24 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Balakot got 16 mm.
  • Punjab
  • Gujaranwala got 6 mm.
  • Lahore got 2 mm.
  • Multan got 2 mm. (south Punjab)

Date of Publish – July 26

4th spell: Very heavy rainfall in Sialkot – 128 mm in 7 hours!

5th spell in North Punjab ‘moderate’ – 3rd spell in Sindh ‘extremely poor’

An upper air cyclonic circulations persists over north-west Bay of Bengal and adjoining Orissa coast. Western disturbance ’15’ over northern Pakistan, moving north-north-eastwards.

Isolated very heavy rainfall has occurred in northern areas of Punjab, Sialkot got 128 mm rainfall in just 7 hours. Fourth monsoon is likely to continue till July 27 morning in various parts of northern areas including Lahore and Islamabad as thunder/lightning with rainfall may occur in these areas. Thundercloud formation keeps taking place for the second day near western south Punjab that could start the third spell in the area as there are chances of light showers there. Due to frequent formation of a thundercloud over Gujarat, drizzle may occur over south-eastern and coastal Sindh, however upper and central parts of Sindh would remain dry with passing clouds. Following is the monsoon rainfall that occurred in some cities of the country;

  • Islamabad got 2 mm.
  • Azad Kashmir
  • Muzaffaarabad got 16 mm.
  • Kotli got 58 mm.
    Rawalakot got 6 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Balakkot got 6 mm.
  • Parachinar got 3 mm.
  • Punjab
  • Sialkot got 129 mm.
  • Gujranwala got 47 mm.
  • Jhelum got 36 mm.
  • Rawalpindi got 22 mm.
  • Lahore got 4 mm.
  • Murree got 3 mm.
  • Balochistan
  • Zhob got 20 mm.

Date of Publish –  July 25

Fourth monsoon spell starts on predicted date!

Third monsoon spell should start as cloud formation taking place!

PWP eyes fifth spell as well

A fresh upper air cyclonic circulation has formed in the north-west Bay of Bengal and adjoining Orissa coast forecasted by PWP since July 21. Western disturbance ’15’ lies over northern Pakistan.

As forecasted by PWP since July 17, fourth monsoon spell has hit the northern areas of the country though it is mild in intensity, rainfall has been recorded in Islamabad and Murree. There are more chances of thunder/lightening with rainfall along with fast winds in the northern areas including Islamabad, Lahore, Peshawar and other adjoining cities. Slim chances of isolated heavy fall near Azad Kashmir-north Punjab border. Third monsoon spell could start in central areas (south Punjab) by tonight/July 26 although mostly light showers are expected there including Multan however passing clouds in lower central areas. Due to frequent formation of a thundercloud over Gujarat, drizzle may occur over south-eastern and coastal Sindh, however upper and central parts of Sindh would remain dry with passing clouds till 12 to 24 hours.

PWP forecast the chance of fifth monsoon spell (fourth in central areas) hitting the country during the last days of July/early August to ‘moderate’ at the moment.  PWP maintains the chance of ”third” monsoon spell hitting Sindh during the last days of July/early August to ‘extremely poor’ at the moment. Following is the monsoon rainfall that occurred in some cities of the country;

  • Islamabad got 12 mm.
  • Azad Kashmir
  • Muzaffaarabad got 43 mm.
  • Kotli got 9 mm.
  • Khyber
  • Bannu got 23 mm.
  • Kohat got 10 mm.
  • Punjab
  • Rawalpindi got 22 mm.
  • Murree got 5 mm.

Date of Publish – July 24

Second spell ends in South on July 23 with no rainfall!

Fourth and third monsoon spell to start from July 24 night/July 25 in North

Yesterday’s UAC over Uttar Pradesh, it is moving in a WNW direction. Western disturbance ’15’ over northern Afghanistan and adjoining Pakistan, it is likely to affect the northern areas of the country. Another UAC would form on July 25/July 26.

Fourth monsoon spell in northern areas (third in central areas) could start by July 24 night/July 25, PWP maintains the chance of that monsoon spell to ‘extremely high’. This spell would remain active till July 27 morning. Rainfall with thunder/lightening would occur over northern parts with slim chances of isolated heavy rainfall over northern Punjab. This spell could create light rainfall in central parts from July 25/July 26, however many parts would witness passing clouds. Another monsoon spell is also expected in the country during the early first week of August. PWP maintains the chance of ”third” monsoon spell hitting Sindh during the last days of July to ‘extremely poor’ at the moment. Drizzle/isolated showers may occur in coastal and south-eastern Sindh including Karachi. Following is the monsoon rainfall that occurred in some cities of Pakistan;

  • Lahore got 20 mm.
  • Balakot got 10 mm.

Date of Publish – July 23

PWP maintains fourth and third monsoon spell to ‘extremely high’

Low pressure over Madya Pradesh has rapidly weakened and has dissipated over the same area however has caused an UAC to form over eastern central India. Another weather system would form in the Bay of Bengal during the middle of the this week.

More isolated showers with thunder/lightening may occur over south-eastern Sindh till July 23 night as the second monsoon spell has continued however the spell is extremely weak similarly drizzle could also occur over coastal Sindh including Karachi. Fourth monsoon spell in northern areas (third in central areas) could start by July 24 night/July 25, PWP maintains the chance of that monsoon spell to ‘extremely high’. This spell would remain active till July 27 morning. Rainfall with thunder/lightening would occur over northern parts with slim chances of isolated heavy rainfall over northern Punjab. This spell would create isolated light rainfall in central parts. Another monsoon spell is also expected in the country during the early first week of August. PWP maintains the chance of ”third” monsoon spell hitting Sindh during the last days of July to ‘extremely poor’ at the moment. Following is the monsoon rainfall that occurred in some cities of Pakistan;

  • Lahore got 16 mm.
  • Rainfall occurred in remote areas of Sindh, hence not measured.

Date of Publish – July 22

”Unexpected visitor in Sindh – Second spells mingles in”

Low pressure area over Chhattisgarh is now situated over Madya Pradesh and adjoining Chhattisgarh, it is likely to move in a WNW direction and weaken. Another weather system would form in the Bay of Bengal during the middle of the coming week.

Moisture from this low pressure has already caused an expected thunderclouds to move into south-eastern Sindh where showers have occurred with thunder/lightening however those thunderclouds are now weakening as they move in a WSW direction. There are chances of more thunder/lightening with showers in south-eastern Sindh till 24 hours with drizzle in coastal parts including Karachi. The weakening low pressure could cause moisture incursion to take place over upper parts Pakistan after 24 to 36 hours and hence the fourth monsoon spell (third in central areas) could start by July 24/July 25, PWP maintains the chance of that monsoon spell to ‘extremely high’. Another monsoon spell is also expected in the country during the early first week of August. Since unexpected monsoon rainfall has occurred in south-eastern Sindh, therefore PWP names it the second monsoon spell. However the second monsoon spell has failed to advance further westwards in the province like the first one. PWP maintains the chance of ”third” monsoon spell hitting Sindh during the late last week of July to ‘extremely poor’ at the moment.

Date of Publish – July 21

Low moves inland –  Another weather system forming!

Monsoon over India improves!

Third spells ends in Punjab!

Low pressure area has moved inland and it is now situated over Chhattisgarh, it is likely to move in a WNW direction, it could cause moisture incursion to take place over upper parts Pakistan. Another weather system would form in the Bay of Bengal during the middle of the coming week. Western Disturbance ’14’ persists over the extreme northern areas of Pakistan.

The third and second monsoon spell in northern and central parts respectively have ended without significant rainfall. However stray thundercloud could form that could cause showers with thunder/lightening at few places of upper and central parts. There is also a chance of drizzle/isolated shower in Karachi and coastal Sindh. High and Mid-level clouds over Gilgit region. Weak thunderclouds moving into south Punjab from Rajasthan while a mid-level cloud formation over central Balochistan and adjoining Sindh is moving westwards. High level clouds are moving into lower Sindh from western Gujarat.

The fourth monsoon spell (third in central) forecasted by PWP on July 17 may start from July 24/July 25 in the northern areas. PWP upgrades chance of monsoon spell (fourth and third spell) to‘extremely high’. PWP downgrades the chance of second monsoon spell hitting Sindh during the late last week of July to ‘extremely poor’ at the moment. Last week of July could witness some improve monsoon activity over Pakistan as conditions over India have improved. Another monsoon spell is also expected during the early first week of August. Following is the rainfall that occurred in some cities;

  • Joharabad got 61 mm.
  • Sargodha got 57 mm.
  • Bhakkar got 28 mm.
  • Sibbi got 16 mm.
  • Sahiwal got 11 mm.
  • Faisalabad got 8 mm.
  • Multan got 5 mm.

Date of Publish – July 20

Yesterday’s upper air cyclonic circulation has intensified into a low pressure area near Orissa coast and West Bengal. It is likely to move towards central India, it could affect Pakistan.

Thunder/lightening with rainfall is expected in the northern areas of the country including Islamabad as third monsoon spell is expected to continue till 24 to 36 hours (early July 22). Western disturbance ’14’ over Afghanistan and adjoining Pakistan has moved into Pakistan. The third monsoon spell has remained weak due to lack of moisture from surrounding areas. Second monsoon spell could start from tonight in the central parts (south Punjab) of the country as there are chances of showers. Last week of July could witness some improve monsoon activity over Pakistan as conditions over India are becoming favorable after 36 hours.

PWP maintains the fourth monsoon spell (third in central parts) hitting the northern parts to ‘high’ during the late last week of July. While PWP maintains the chance of second monsoon spell hitting Sindh during the late last week of July to ‘very poor’ at the moment. Following is the rainfall that occurred in some cities;

  • Balochistan
  • Barkhan got 15 mm.
  • Punjab
  • Lahore got 5 mm.
  • Kashmir
  • Muzaffarabad got 4 mm.

Date of Publish – July 19

An upper air cyclonic circulation has formed in the northern sector of the Bay of Bengal, it may intensify into a low pressure area and move towards central India, it could affect Pakistan.

More thunder/lightening with rainfall is expected in the northern areas of the country including Islamabad as third monsoon spell is expected to continue. Western disturbance ’14’ over Afghanistan and adjoining Pakistan is would move into Pakistan on July 20 as forecasted.  Second monsoon spell would start from July 19 night/July 20 in the central parts of the country. Last week of July could witness some improve monsoon activity over Pakistan as conditions over India are becoming favorable.

PWP has also upgraded the fourth monsoon spell (third in central parts) hitting the northern parts to ‘high’ during the late last week of July. While PWP forecasts the chance of second monsoon spell hitting Sindh during the late last week of July to ‘very poor’ at the moment. Following is the rainfall that occurred in some cities;

  • Islamabad got 9 mm.
  • Punjab
  • Sargodha got 22 mm.
  • Joharabad got 19 mm.
  • Sialkot got 15 mm.
  • Jhelum got 6 mm.

Date of Publish – July 18

Third monsoon spell has started in the country around PWP’s forecasted date!

Thunderstorms over northern areas

Western disturbance ’14’ is over northern Afghanistan and adjoining Pakistan.  Mostly dry weather is expected in many parts of the country till 12 hours however thunder/lightening with rainfall (chance of isolated heavy falls) and fast winds is expected in the northern areas including Islamabad as the third monsoon spell has started. Thundercloud that entered the north-western parts from Afghanistan intensified into a well-developed thunderstorm over the northern areas and brought thunder/lightening with rainfall and strong winds to Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Mirpur (Azad Kashmir), Jhelum and adjoining cities, the wind speed in Islamabad reached 69 miles per hour (111 km/h).

PWP on the mid-day of July 18, upgraded the chance of the third monsoon spell (second in central parts) hitting the northern areas to ‘very high’ on July 19 however the monsoon spell has started a day earlier in the northern areas. PWP has also upgraded the fourth monsoon spell (third in central parts) hitting the northern parts to ‘moderate’ during the late last week of July.

Date of Publish – July 17

“PWP forecast two more monsoon spells”

Mostly dry weather is expected in the country however light showers with fast winds could occur at few isolated places of northern and central parts of the country. An upper air cyclonic circulations would form in the Bay of Bengal during late this week and move towards central India. PWP forecast ‘high’ chance of the third monsoon spell (second in central parts) hitting the northern parts from July 19/July 20 while ‘poor’ chance of the fourth monsoon spell (third in central parts) hitting the northern parts during the late last week of July.

Date of Publish – July 16

An upper air cyclonic circulations would form in the Bay of Bengal during late this week and move towards central India. Monsoon (Second and first spell) has ended in the country, no monsoon showers expected in the country till few days. Mostly dry weather is expected in the country however light showers with fast winds could occur at few isolated places of north and central parts. Western Disturbance ’13’ has moved into Indian Kashmir.

Date of Publish – July 15

”Second and First Monsoon spell coming to an end!”

Western Disturbance ’13’ over the northern areas of the country. Thundercloud over south Punjab is dissipating as it moves into Rajasthan. Mid-level cloud formation over western Sindh is now dissipating North of Karachi as it moves eastwards. Monsoon (Second and first spell) is about to end in the next 12 to 24 hours the northern and central parts of the country. After that dry conditions expected to prevail in many parts of the country till few days before another spell could start. Chances of more rainfall in Punjab (both parts) and adjoining Khyber. Drizzle/isolated shower could occur in Karachi. Following is the amount of rainfall that occurred in some cities of the country;

  • Islamabad got 13 mm.
  • North Punjab
  • Gujranwala got 65 mm.
  • Jhang got 46 mm.
  • Murree got 7 mm.
  • Lahore got 5 mm.
  • South Punjab
  • Multan got 16 mm.
  • Balochistan 
  • Barkhan got 47 mm.
  • Zhob got 4 mm.

Date of Publish – July 14

”Second monsoon spell likely to last till two days”

Monsoon has been inactive, rather on break over the north-western parts of India. With the arrival of Western disturbance ’13’, monsoon has intensified over the upper parts of Pakistan. It is affecting the northern and central areas of the country due to which thunder/lightening with rainfall (Mostly isolated heavy rainfall in north-eastern Punjab including Islamabad and Lahore) is likely in many cities of upper parts including some cities of south Punjab where there are few chances of isolated heavy rainfall. This activity (Second and first monsoon spell) would continue till two days.

Thundercloud is moving over south Punjab while high level clouds over Gilgit region. Much of the lower parts of the country have remained dry with no cloud formation however drizzle/isolated shower may occur in Karachi till 48 hours.

  • Islamabad got 10 mm.
  • Balochistan
  • Barkhan got 20 mm.
  • North Punjab
  • Lahore got 5 mm.
  • South Punjab
  • Bahawalpur got 5 mm.

Date of Publish – July 13

“Monsoon hits south Punjab as forecasted by PWP”

“Heavy downpours expected in north-eastern Punjab!”

As forecasted by PWP on July 9, the first monsoon spell starts in south Punjab as Bahawalnagar got 25 mm today. The monsoon spell over the northern areas and adjoining central areas would intensify in the next 12 to 24 hours therefore thunder/lightening with rainfall (Mostly isolated heavy rainfall in north-eastern Punjab including Islamabad and Lahore) is likely in many cities of upper parts including some cities of south Punjab where there are few chances of isolated heavy rainfall. Much of the lower parts of the country have remained dry with no cloud formation.

Rain in Faisalabad claims two lives. Following is the rainfall that occurred in some cities of the country;

  • Sahiwal got 78 mm.
  • Faisalabad got 40 mm.
  • Muzafarabad got 33 mm.
  • Okara got 32 mm.
  • Bahawalnagar got 25 mm.
  • Lahore got 9 mm.

Date of Publish – July 12

Second monsoon spell in Up Pak – First to start in southern Punjab: As forecasted by PWP

PWP forecast very high chances of monsoon advancing into south Punjab

Yesterday’s low pressure has weakened into a upper air cyclonic circulations, it is an unimportant weather system. PWP forecasted on July 9, second monsoon spell hitting northern areas including Islamabad on July 11 late, thus second monsoon spell has hit these areas on July 11 mid-night. On July 9, PWP forecasted monsoon advancing into southern Punjab on July 13, thus now PWP upgrades 1st monsoon spell hitting southern Punjab to ‘very high’.

More thunder/lightening with rainfall and winds is likely in the northern areas and few adjoining central parts. Western winds are also prevailing over the extreme upper parts of the country. Thundercloud that formed over western Sindh is moving eastwards, another over central parts of the country. There are also chances of some isolated showers at lower central Balochistan.

  • Islamabad got 48 mm.
  • Rawalpindi got 46 mm.
  • Risalpur got 43 mm.
  • Jehlum got 30 mm.
  • Mangla got 25 mm.

Date of Publish – July 11

Clouds had gripped entire Sindh for the whole day

Yesterday’s well-marked low pressure over Madya Pradesh-Rajasthan and adjoining Gujarat has significantly weakened since the last 24 hours and it is becoming an unimportant weather system. It has weakened into a low pressure (further weakening likely) area over Rajasthan-Gujarat and adjoining Pakistan, it is likely to move to south-eastern Sindh and would dissipating stages on July 12. Light to medium level of moisture from this system could affect southern Punjab, south-eastern and some upper parts of Sindh till 36 to 48 hours. There are also chances of isolated showers in coastal Sindh including Karachi till 24 hours (monsoon advancement). The second spell of monsoon would begin from July 11 night/July 12 in the northern areas including Islamabad. Western winds are prevailing over upper parts of the country. Following is the monsoon rainfall that occurred in some cities of the country;

  • Islamabad got 39 mm.
  • Sindh
  • Nagar Parkar got 28 mm.
  • Chhor got 23 mm.
  • Sanghar 20 mm.
  • Mithi got 10mm.
  • Diplo got 8 mm.
  • Hyderabad got 3 mm.
  • Karachi got 0.1 mm.
  • Balochistan
  • Lasbella got 4 mm.
  • Punjab
  • Jhelum got 51 mm.
  • Rawalpindi got 23 mm.
  • Murree got 13 mm.

Date of Publish – July 10

“Monsoon 2012 advances into Sindh”

Thunderstorms over Sindh

Yesterday’s low pressure over Madya Pradesh intensified into a well-marked low pressure over Madya Pradesh-Rajasthan border during the mid-day. During the same time (at about 2:00 pm PKT), PWP upgraded monsoon hitting Sindh to “high” in the monsoon mini updates. PWP forecasted monsoon hitting Sindh on July 10 late, it did so on July 10 night. Thunderclouds are forming over lower central Balochistan, moving into Iran. The well-developed thunderstorm has gripped all parts of Sindh, southern end over Karachi.

The well-marked low pressure is still present over Madya Pradesh-Rajasthan border and adjoining Gujarat, it is expected to lose intensity from tomorrow as it moves nearer to Sindh province. There are chances of monsoon thundershowers with fast winds in south-eastern Sindh, central and some adjoining areas. There are chances of isolated shower/rain in the coastal cities including Karachi too. The 1st monsoon spell in Sindh would continue till 48 to 72 hours. The second spell could start in upper parts including Islamabad and Lahore from July 11 night/July 12. Following is the amount of rainfall that occurred in some cities of Pakistan;

  • Barkhan got 32 mm.
  • Lahore got 25 mm.
  • Kotli got 20 mm.

Date of Publish – July 9

“Low pressure forms – PWP forecasts ‘moderate’ chance of monsoon hitting Sindh”

Yesterday’s UAC over Madya Pradesh has further intensified into a low pressure area. With its formation, monsoon has revived once again. It is moving towards Sindh province, high level clouds have already started penetrating. Well-developed thunderstorm has also formed over central Balochistan that is moving westwards. Another UAC over north-western Bay of Bengal, is over Orissa coast. It is expected to move WNW. PWP forecast the 1st spell of monson hitting Sindh during the mid of this week to “moderate”. 

Date of Publish – July 8

Yesterday’s upper air cyclonic circulations over Jharkhand has moved into Madya Pradesh. Another has formed in the north-western Bay of Bengal, it is expected to move WNW. Monsoon has fairly remained poorly disorganized over the north-western parts of India, expected to re-organize.

Morning – Night: Satellite Picture

Monsoon has hit many parts of northern areas during the time of July 7 and July 8. On the morning of July 8, a well-developed thunderstorm formed over the northern areas that late moved into Indian Kashmir, it had gust fronts. Now during the night of July 8, High level clouds moving from Afghanistan to Gilgit region. Thundercloud over central Pakistan dissipating as it remains stationary over the same area however it has slightly moved in a SW direction. Thundercloud that formed over western Sindh is moving into central Balochistan. More monsoon thundershowers are expected in these parts including Islamabad, Lahore, Peshawar and other adjoining cities till two to three days. Western winds are also prevailing over the northern and central parts. Monsoon would now shift its focus to central and southern parts in coming few days. Sharp pre-monsoon drizzle occurred in Karachi during the early hours of July 8, this activity started from July 5. Following is the rainfall that occurred today in some cities of Pakistan;

  • D.I.Khan got 76 mm.
  • Sargodha got 69 mm.
  • Risalpur got 57 mm.
  • Jhang got 53 mm.
  • Faisalabad got 51 mm.
  • Multan got 15 mm.
  • Rawalpindi  got 4 mm.
  • Islamabad got 1 mm.
  • Lahore got 0.1 mm.

Date of Publish – July 7

“2012 Monsoon has entered Pakistan as forecasted by PWP”

“Monsoon eyeing Lahore”

As forecasted by PWP on June 25, monsoon has advanced into Pakistan during the early hours of July 7 as moderate showers with isolated heavy falls have occurred in many parts of northern Punjab including Islamabad. Western winds are prevailing over the northern and central parts as well. There are chances of more monsoon thundershowers with strong winds in the northern parts including Islamabad till next two to three days. Monsoon could hit Lahore and surrounding cities tonight/morning. Thunderstorm that formed West of Islamabad is now weakening over the city as it moves eastwards towards Lahore. Following is the monsoon rainfall that occurred in the country;

  • Saidu Sharif got 51 mm.
  • Jhelum got 48 mm.
  • Rawalpindi got 44 mm.
  • Islamabad got 29 mm.
  • Murree got 26 mm.

Pre-monsoon drizzle continues in the southern city of Karachi. Drizzle occurred in the city during the early hours of the day while another sharp drizzle occurred around 5:00 pm PKT at Stadium Road. Few high level clouds that entered from western Gujarat are dissipating over Karachi city after passing through SE Sindh. There are chances of pre-monsoon drizzle/isolated showers in south-eastern Sindh including Karachi. Fresh UAC over Jharkand however monsoon flow has slightly weakened over north-western India.

Date of Publish – July 6

“Unexpected earlier weakening of monsoon?”

“Monsoon advancing into northern parts on July 7?”

Yesterday’s UAC over eastern Madya Pradesh and moved into Utter Pradesh. The another UAC over Arabian sea has dissipated, it has caused weakening of the monsoon. Monsoon has advanced into some parts of Gujarat and eastern Rajasthan. Today spotty showers with thunder/lightening occurred over New Delhi that broke the 8 day heat spell in the city. Some showers also occurred in northern parts of Pakistan including Sialkot that were helped due to the prevailing western winds. Karachi also witnessed pre-monsoon drizzle during the morning and night times. Pre-monsoon clouds were seen moving from upper Gujarat into northern and south-eastern Sindh and adjoining Punjab.

Monsoon has not yet advanced into any part of Pakistan although it has managed to advance into Haryana and eastern Punjab. PWP had written in the update article that monsoon might either hit the country on July 6 or July 7, thus PWP would wait another 24 hours. However PWP still maintains the monsoon hitting the country to “high”. There are chances of monsoon thundershowers with strong winds in the northern parts including Islamabad on July 7, thus PWP might declare monsoon over Pakistan on July 7.

Date of Publish – July 5

Yesterday’s UAC over Jharkhand is now over eastern Madya Pradesh. Another UAC over north-eastern Arabian sea near Gujarat-Maharashtra. There are chances of drizzle/isolated shower in southern-eastern Sindh, northern and northern-eastern Punjab. PWP upgrades monsoon hitting the country to “high”, there are chances that season’s first proper rain could occur in the northern parts on July 6 as written by PWP few days back, the intensity would be mostly light with spotty moderate falls that would continue till few days. Mid-level clouds coming into south-eastern Sindh from Gujarat, few clouds also formed over lower southern Punjab from Rajasthan that are now dissipating. Western winds are also bringing moisture to the northern and central parts of Pakistan. 

Date of Publish – July 4

Upper air cyclonic circulations that was over north-western Bay of Bengal, is now located over Jharkhand, another over north-eastern Arabian sea near Gujarat-Maharashtra. Thunderstorm is over northern Gujarat, southern Rajasthan and adjoining Maharashtra, it is moving in a SW directions, some clouds over south-eastern Sindh that could bring drizzle/isolated shower till 6 to 12 hours. PWP maintains 1st monsoon spell in the country to “moderate” during the late first week of July.

Date of Publish – July 3

Upper air cyclonic circulations in the north-western Bay of Bengal is expected to move in a WNW direction, another over north-eastern Arabian sea near Gujarat-Maharashtra. Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) forecasted on June 27 monsoon hitting the northern parts of the country during the late first week of July. On July 1, PWP told that the chances of monsoon hitting the country are “moderate”, the Portal maintains that for 6 to 12 hours.

Date of Publish – July 2

Upper air cyclonic circulations in the north-western Bay of Bengal is expected to move in a WNW direction, another over north-eastern Arabian sea near Gujarat-Maharashtra. Pre-monsoon moisture is penetrating into south-eastern Sindh, chances of drizzle/isolated shower till 24 hours. Northern parts still under the influence of western winds. PWP maintains 1st monsoon spell in the country to “moderate” during the late first week of July.

Date of Publish – July 1

An upper air cyclonic circulations persists near western coast of India in the Arabian sea while another over the north-western Bay of Bengal. Monsoon rainfall can occur in northern Pakistan during the late first week of July while early second week of July in southern parts. PWP upgrades 1st monsoon spell in the country to “moderate”.

Strong thunderstorms east of Gujarat, over western Maharashtra. Weak thundercloud that formed over south-western Sindh is has slightly moved westwards, indicating the strengthening of eastern winds.

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