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43 comments on Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon Alert (May 25 – May 31)

Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon Alert (May 25 – May 31)

  • Extreme heatwave, west for the rescue!

  • Rain in the North after long time!

  • Karachi’s cloud returns

Temperature and Precipitation in late May
Temperature and Precipitation in late May

On May 8, PWP predicted that aย strong heatwaveย would affect Sindh from the coming week of May. On May 15, it gripped the entire country and gradually intensified on May 16/May 17. This heatwave will continue till the end of May as written inย Monsoon III. Though someย decrease of 2ยฐC to 5ยฐC from current situation could occur in the northern areas while slight decrease would occur in the central and southern parts. Around 50ยฐC was recorded in some parts of Sindh and adjoining Punjab while above 45ยฐC was recorded in some areasย of Punjab including Lahore. The heatwave would weaken by the first week of June but will remain till pre-monsoon starts in the country.

Factors โ€“ Outlook

*A Western trough ’08โ€ฒ would pass through the northern areas of the country on May 24 night.

North Remembers โ€“ Dusty Shower possible

โ€˜Dust storm can occur in Northern areas!โ€™

Good Precipitation after many days
Good Precipitation after many days

Western trough ’08’ could affect the northern areas including Peshawar, Islamabad and Lahore, WD’s main focus would be Gilgit-Balistan and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. From May 24 night till May 27 morning there are chances of drizzle/showers with dust storms and thunder/lightening in the mentioned areas including North-eastern Punjab (Gujranwala, Sialkot, Lahore, Jhelum and adjoining cities).

Temperatures can drop by 2ยฐC to 5ยฐC especially from Sunday in Islamabad, Lahore, Peshawar, Gujranwala and adjoining cities. During this period rain with moderate falls along with strong dust storm and thunderstorm can occur in Azad Kashmir and adjoining Gilgit-Balistan. However the current extreme heatwave though would be weakened after WD ’08’ passes by, will remain till the end of May as a weak to moderate heatwave till pre-monsoon precipitation.

Central Areas – Unsettled

Temperatures can drop by 2ยฐC to 4ยฐC inย Multan, Bahawalpur, Faisalabad and adjoining cities due to the presence of western winds from May 25 till May 27. During this period, sudden dusty winds can occur with cloudy intervals.

South runs dry!

The Sindh provinceโ€™s upper cities like Sukkur, Nawabshah, Larakana and other adjoining cities can experience a drop of temperature from the coming week. Temperatures can drop by 2ยฐC to 3ยฐC in this part though heatwave would remain aroundย 44ยฐC till 46ยฐC till pre-monsoon activity.

Karachiโ€™s temperature could remain 33ยฐC/36ยฐC during the next coming days with fast winds, partly cloudy weather can also occur.

2013 Monsoon News

monsoon-2013-pwp

  • Monsoon coming early!

  • Tropical activities in Arabian sea

  • Punjab and Sindh awaits for pre-monsoonย 

Factors โ€“ Outlook

*A upper air cyclonic circulation has formed in the southern central Arabian sea and it would move towards the Arabianย Peninsula with slight intensification.

India getting ready for early rains!

Active Monsoon in June - Some thunderstorms could pop up over Pak
Active Monsoon in June – Some thunderstorms could pop up over E.Pak

There is a good possibility that monsoon could coverย Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra including Mumbai, Goa,ย West Bengal and Sikkim and eastern parts of Bihar before June 10. Since the conditions are fruitful at the moment, monsoon might set over Kerala early (possibility during last days of May). Widespread heavy downpour monsoon can occur in June in these areas of India.

Pakistan’s Pre-monsoon – A ray of hope?

As per the latest analysis, scattered pre-monsoon showers can occur in Sindh and North-eastern Punjab from middle June, another tropical activity is also expected in the Arabian sea in the month of June.

Poll of the Week

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wants to know;


43 responses to “Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon Alert (May 25 – May 31)”

  1. Naeem Sadiq Avatar
    Naeem Sadiq

    Why rains in in Sindh and North-eastern Punjab in June (as declared in forecasst of portal) are called Pre-Monsoon rains? I mean the start of monsoon dates are from the start of june. isnt it!

    1. PWP Avatar

      Monsoon is still over some parts of Bay of Bengal as of now, Pre-monsoon rains are not frequent and are less in duration, proper onset of monsoon likely to be in July in Pakistan.

  2. osama Avatar
    osama

    overall conditionz kia hongi Islamabad ki is Monsoon me….any extreme event expected in Islamabad???

    1. PWP Avatar

      As of now extreme development is not seen.

      1. osama Avatar
        osama

        like the one in july 2001??

      2. PWP Avatar

        Sorry :P I forgot to mention ‘not’

      3. osama Avatar
        osama

        hahahaha ok :D

  3. Sameed Hashmi Avatar
    Sameed Hashmi

    At what time in June do we expect to witness pre-monsoon rains in Karachi?

    1. PWP Avatar

      Chances in Middle of June..

  4. Mustufa Shahid Avatar

    Pre-moonsoon Showers Karachi Mein 15th June Say Hongay Kya PWP ?

    1. PWP Avatar

      possible around it …

  5. Tarim Avatar
    Tarim

    Nicely done

    1. PWP Avatar

      Thank you :D

  6. Muhammad IMTIAZ Avatar
    Muhammad IMTIAZ

    Is there any chances of pre monsoon rain in Risalpur, KPK?

    1. PWP Avatar

      No chances at the moment.

  7. Muhammad ali Avatar
    Muhammad ali

    Lahore me monsoon r pre-monsoon ki kesi barishen expected hain??? Extreme rainfalls ho skti hain kia Lahore me??? Babar bhai.

    1. PWP Avatar

      Not extreme pre-monsoon, could be light to moderate.

  8. Tarim Avatar
    Tarim

    What’s the update on the dust cloud ?

    1. PWP Avatar

      Looking at the maps, dust concentration is high over Sindh..

      1. Tarim Avatar
        Tarim

        When would it start to clear out ? :(

      2. PWP Avatar

        It usually does weaken in July however last year it stayed till early August.

  9. Khuram Ali Avatar

    Is There Any Chance Of Pre Monsoon In Dera Ghazi Khan Division South Punjab?

    1. PWP Avatar

      No chances yet..

  10. saad Avatar
    saad

    post the link for the dust cloud map pls Km

  11. Sardar Ahmad Jibril Lutfi Avatar
    Sardar Ahmad Jibril Lutfi

    what will the condition be in isb and khaur.

    1. PWP Avatar

      Chances of drizzle/showers with dust storm till Monday.

  12. shoaibi100 Avatar
    shoaibi100

    @ K.M, Extreme load shedding in Karachi, very hot weather with no chance of rain in Karachi in coming many days according to forecast.

    1. PWP Avatar

      Yes true, load-shedding is unbearable as humidity as increased!

  13. Pradeep John Avatar

    NRL Navy Started tracking two systems before onset of Monsoon

    http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

    95A INVEST – Target Oman
    โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€“
    Winds โ€“ 15kts-
    MSLP โ€“ 1010mb
    Location โ€“ 17.1 N 61.4 E
    Satellite Image โ€“ http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tcdat/tc13/IO/95A.INVEST/tc_ssmis/geovis/20130526.1311.f17.x.geovis.95AINVEST.15kts-1010mb-171N-614E.72pc.jpg

    94B INVEST – Target West Bengal
    โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”-
    Winds โ€“ 15kts
    MSLP โ€“ 1010mb
    Location โ€“ 18.9 N 90.4E
    Satellite Image โ€“ http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc13/IO/94B.INVEST/tc_ssmis/geoir/20130526.1419.f18.x.geoir.94BINVEST.15kts-1010mb-189N-904E.59pc.jpg

    1. Pradeep John Avatar

      1st System expected to form on 27th and cross Orissa / West Bengal Coast on 29th / 30th May
      โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”-

      2nd System to form on 29th and cross Oman / Yemen Coast on 31st May
      โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€“

    2. PWP Avatar

      Models also show another system in the Arabian sea in June!!

  14. Syed Ali Avatar
    Syed Ali

    AOA.Babar Bhai Bahawalpur Me Kab Tak Rain Ke Chances Hain….

    1. PWP Avatar

      Not till some days..

  15. Naeem Sadiq Avatar
    Naeem Sadiq

    Baber Bhai when a comprehensive article (like drought,monsoon etc) on flood will be appear on weather portal?

    1. PWP Avatar

      Articles on drought, floods, tornadoes, Monsoon (2011, 2012 and 2013) have been published. You must search it on the Article of the month or Archives.

      History of drought in Pakistan – In detail

      Monsoon 2011: Backlash of the floods? – History of Pakistan floods in Detail

  16. m tariq iqbal kayani Avatar
    m tariq iqbal kayani

    bhai kiya 2013 mein bhe koi bud treen flood expected hy indus rever mein?agur yes then what position in rajan pur district ?

    1. PWP Avatar

      As per latest analysis, no severe development is seen over India that could affect Pakistan.

  17. Sardar Ahmad Jibril Lutfi Avatar
    Sardar Ahmad Jibril Lutfi

    pre monsoon in isb and khaur.

  18. mohsin Avatar

    kindly tell me about expected pre moon soon in bahawalpur

    1. PWP Avatar

      Not much chance yet, though some clouds expected.

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